Luc Jose A.

While cryptos are establishing themselves in the global political and financial agenda, certain statements resonate with particular intensity. In Hong Kong, during the Bitcoin Asia Conference, Eric Trump stated that bitcoin would reach one million dollars. Much more than a publicity stunt, this prediction reflects a strategic vision: that of a market in full mutation, torn between regulation, institutional adoption and geopolitical ambitions, where Asia now plays a central role.

While the market oscillates between technical consolidation and the return of institutional appetite, an extraordinary movement attracts all attention. An actor holding more than 5 billion dollars in bitcoin redirects a major part of its capital towards Ethereum. The scale of the amounts, the transparency of on-chain transactions, and the timing of the operation are striking. More than a simple arbitrage, this strategic repositioning seems to redraw the power relations between the two historical pillars of the crypto universe.

The signals align on the altcoin market. While bitcoin and Ethereum take a pause, XRP and Dogecoin position themselves at the forefront of speculative bets. Raoul Pal, former Goldman Sachs and founder of Real Vision, mentions an imminent transition of the current cycle. In an analysis shared on X, he revives his concept of "Crypto Waiting Room" and points to a possible breakout from consolidation for these two assets. Investors, for their part, watch for the trigger signal.

Bitcoin is currently undervalued according to JPMorgan. In a note signed by analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the American bank estimates that BTC should reach 126,000 dollars by the end of the year, given its historically low volatility. As its risk-return profile approaches that of gold, bitcoin may be entering the most critical phase of its institutional adoption. This is a projection full of meaning for major capital allocators.

The custody of cryptos shifts to a new era. Indeed, exchanges, long dominant, are giving ground to Wall Street giants. BlackRock, through its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, now establishes itself as an essential custodian, directly competing with Coinbase and Binance. This massive asset transfer illustrates the rise of traditional finance in the crypto ecosystem and raises questions about the future of historic platforms, facing a gradual loss of their central role.

While the crypto market oscillates between euphoria and uncertainty, XRP is the subject of a serious warning. According to analyst Benjamin Cowen, the crypto could experience one last drop before reaching its cycle peak. This analysis, based not on promises but on historical technical signals, calls for caution.

With every Nvidia earnings release, the crypto market holds its breath. For several quarters, the semiconductor giant's performance seems to evolve in parallel with that of bitcoin. Enough to intrigue traders, increasingly watching this quarterly event as a leading indicator. Even before the announcement of the second quarter, attention was not only on Wall Street but also on the blockchain order books.

While Web3 seeks to reinvent itself after the bursting of the speculative bubble, The Sandbox is going through a major crisis. The French pioneer of the blockchain metaverse has just announced the layoff of more than half of its workforce and the eviction of its two co-founders. This brutal restructuring occurs in a climate of growing disinterest in 3D virtual worlds and is accompanied by a spectacular drop in the project valuation, now forced to rethink its future.

By seeking to isolate his rivals, Donald Trump could well get the opposite effect. Under the pressure of his trade sanctions, the countries of the BRICS bloc, long divided, are beginning an unprecedented strategic rapprochement. As tensions rise, China, India, Russia and their partners seem more willing than ever to cooperate economically and diplomatically.

In France, public debt crystallizes political tensions, shocks the markets, and weakens budgetary sovereignty. With more than €3,400 billion to repay and sharply rising rates, the country faces an unprecedented risk. François Bayrou even raised the threat of being put under IMF supervision, while investors are beginning to doubt.

Donald Trump re-enters the crypto arena. Through Trump Media, his group partners with Crypto.com and Yorkville Acquisition to launch a structure valued at 6.42 billion dollars, entirely based on CRO. The goal is to build the largest public crypto treasury, with a planned listing on Nasdaq.

While inflation slows on a national scale, property owners do not escape the reality of the figures. Since August 25, the first property tax notices have arrived, with a national increase set at 1.7%. Indeed, behind this mechanical revaluation, much higher local increases are quietly added. This tax burden, far from being insignificant, reveals growing tensions between budget-pressured local authorities and already weakened taxpayers.

In one week, crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) recorded $1.43 billion in net outflows, their largest drop since March. This sudden disengagement reflects rising tensions around US monetary policy and directly affects the market's two pillars, bitcoin and Ethereum. In an environment of increased volatility, this massive pullback raises questions about institutional investors’ strategies and the evolving power dynamics among different assets.