Analysts See Rebound Potential For SOL After 25 % Drop

Solana (SOL) flirts again with the critical threshold of 100 dollars, its lowest in 10 months. For some analysts, this level marks a possible floor, signaling a rebound of +150 %. For others, it is just a stage in a still fragile trend. Between hopes for a recovery and technical doubts, the market hesitates. Are the current signals really enough to reverse the momentum?

A potential bottom confirmed by technical indicators

While one notices an exodus of the network validators, Solana (SOL) shows several technical signs hinting at a bullish reversal after its drop below 100 dollars. The current price chart configuration could trigger a recovery towards 260 dollars if buying pressure persists.

Analysts identify several factors that favor this scenario :

• The 100-dollar level acted as a major weekly support, similar to the one preceding a 166 % rise between April and September 2025 ;
• The 4-hour RSI rose from 18 to 36, leaving the oversold zone and signaling renewed bullish momentum ;
• On the daily timeframe, the RSI remains around 29, a level historically associated with rebounds on Solana crypto ;
• The proximity of several technical resistances between $113 and $130 could now serve as a catalyst, provided the breakout is supported by volume ;
• The 50 EMA and 50 SMA moving averages on several timeframes converge in this same zone, strengthening its technical relevance.

These combined factors allow for the consideration of a reversal scenario, provided the price consolidates above the critical thresholds and the overall context does not deteriorate further.

A recovery hampered by multiple resistances and a fragile context

While technical indicators suggest a possible rebound, several factors temper this optimism.

Thus, the $100 zone remains fragile, as the SOL price still has to surpass critical levels before considering a return to $260. The recent rejection from $127, coupled with a 25 % drop, showed the strength of the short-term selling pressure.

At the same time, the return of volatility is accompanied by a structural challenge: breaking through the “supply zone” from $140 to $160, a historical resistance area marked by weekly moving averages. As long as this barrier is not consolidated, any bullish attempt risks being thwarted by quick profit-taking. Added to this is a generally unstable market situation, where altcoins, including SOL, move cautiously in the absence of strong catalysts.

Solana could double Bitcoin during this year, if technical signals confirm and resistances break. However, caution remains advised. Between hope for recovery and structural tensions, the crypto market will have to decide.