AVAX Eyes a Breakout Above Key Resistance

Altcoins are shining at the moment. After Ethereum and a few other headliners, it’s Avalanche’s crypto’s turn to take the spotlight. Combining encouraging technical signals, fundamental growth, and institutional catalysts, AVAX finds itself at a pivotal moment. Between the tension of a key resistance and the enthusiasm of its supporters, everything seems ready for a possible takeoff.

A double bottom putting pressure on sellers

Charts don’t lie: AVAX shows a double bottom pattern on its weekly unit, often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal. Trader @Crypto_TheBoss reminds that “The RSI is currently above the 50 level on the weekly timeframe, indicating that upward momentum may continue“. 

He also specifies that “The MACD line has crossed above the signal line, showing positive divergence which supports a possible trend reversal”.

Volumes increase as resistance approaches, but nothing is certain. The stochastic flirts with the overbought zone and the On-Balance Volume hasn’t yet validated the momentum. Added to this is the lack of a clear close above the 50-week moving average. 

These mixed signals fuel both hope and caution among investors. In such a context, a conviction breakout could release a buying wave, while a sharp rejection would push AVAX back into its consolidation channel.

When Avalanche’s crypto attracts capital and tech giants

Behind the technical surge of interest, Avalanche shows impressive fundamental progress. Its Total Value Locked has jumped 90% since March, now nearing 1.9 billion dollars. This influx of capital is no accident: the blockchain attracted 250 million dollars of real tokenized assets through Janus Henderson funds via Grove. These are significant institutional flows, rarely driven by mere speculation.

On the alliances side, Avalanche plays in the big leagues. Shopify uses it to allow merchants to distribute NFTs directly from their stores. Alibaba Cloud and AWS offer the ability to deploy Avalanche subnets in minutes. These technical choices enhance the platform’s attractiveness, especially for companies seeking scalability.

Finally, the AVAX economic model is designed to become increasingly rare. In 2024, over 4 million tokens were burned, reducing circulating supply. Add to this the recent Octane update, which decreased C-Chain fees by 43% and introduced a dynamic gas limit adjustment mechanism, resulting in a more competitive blockchain than ever.

Between ETFs, tokenomics and bullish ambitions: the AVAX equation

While technical signals and fundamentals excite, market catalysts complete the picture. The Grayscale-proposed Avalanche spot ETF is still awaiting SEC approval. This regulatory caution doesn’t stop some analysts from anticipating a green light for major altcoins in the coming months.

Meanwhile, the risk/reward profile of AVAX intrigues. Still over 75% below its all-time high of $146, the crypto offers considerable leverage potential if the market firmly recovers. The strong narratives— AI integration, gaming, decentralized finance (DeFi)— mesh with solid technical infrastructure. 

According to analyst Centurion, AVAX bounced off its key support at $17.20, validating a potential reversal scenario. A clear breakthrough of the $36–43 zone on a weekly close would open the way to targets between $72 and $89.

Key highlights to remember

• +90%: Avalanche TVL increase since March 2024;
• $250M: influx of real tokenized assets via Grove;
• 43%: C-Chain fee reduction thanks to the Octane upgrade;
• 4M AVAX burned in 2024, reducing circulating supply;
• 75%: current distance from the $146 ATH.

Avalanche has crossed several technical and fundamental milestones attracting both traders and institutional capital. And long-term prospects already excite some major banks. For Standard Chartered, AVAX could skyrocket and surpass Bitcoin by the end of 2029. A projection that, if realized, would completely redraw the crypto hierarchy.