Investors Shift XRP Off Exchanges In Record Numbers

The supply of XRP on exchange platforms has fallen to its lowest level in eight years. This liquidity contraction coincides with a massive disengagement of short-term investors and a retreat to custody solutions. Thus, the prospect of a rally in 2026 reemerges, without a clear consensus.

A Historic Drop in Supply on the Platforms

While selling pressure returns strongly on crypto, Glassnode data show a sharp drop in the supply of XRP on exchange platforms: from 3.76 billion tokens on October 8, 2025, to only 1.6 billion at the end of December, a reduction of over 2.1 billion tokens in 60 days.

This level, unprecedented since August 2018, quickly attracted analysts’ attention. “XRP supply tightens with about 1.5 billion still available on exchanges. Bullish trend in sight, maybe it is time to buy!” posted analyst LeviRietveld on X, suggesting a scenario where asset scarcity could support a bullish recovery.

This drop coincides with a historic event that occurred on October 19 : the largest net outflow ever recorded for XRP, with 1.4 billion tokens leaving exchanges in one day. Such dynamics are explained by several factors:

• Massive outflows to offline wallets (cold storage), often used by long-term investors ;

• Growing accumulation by institutional players via investment products like ETFs, reducing available liquidity ;

• Decrease of circulating supply on trading platforms, mechanically reducing selling pressure on the market ;

• An increasingly marked behavior of XRP holders towards conservation, rather than short-term speculation.

This structural change in investor behavior could signal a discreet recomposition of the XRP holder base, with direct consequences on volatility and price dynamics in the medium term.

A Crucial Support Level at $1.78 : The Market Between Waiting and Consolidation

Beyond supply dynamics, technical analysts observe another determining factor for XRP : the support zone located between $1.60 and $1.84, with a key level at $1.78.

According to data from the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) published by Glassnode, 1.87 billion XRP tokens were acquired in this price zone, making it a major anchor point for investors. Indeed, this zone has served as a foundation throughout the year. If it were to break, no significant technical support has been identified lower, which increases correction risks.

Analyst VipRoseTr estimates that maintaining above this zone could open the way for a formation pattern, potentially projecting the XRP price toward $3.79. In his analysis, he states : “a break out of the descending channel could indicate a bullish reversal”. However, the bullish reversal scenario remains conditional on the emergence of additional catalysts. Furthermore, the price could remain in a consolidation phase until 2026, in the absence of favorable new impulses.

XRP is attracting attention, but caution prevails. Despite a supply freefall on exchanges, the funding rate collapses as traders still hesitate. Between waiting for clear catalysts and structural uncertainties, the market remains suspended. The outcome will depend on XRP’s ability to transform this scarcity into a genuine bullish momentum.