Impôts

Kalshi and Polymarket record a sharp drop in probabilities in favor of Donald Trump, as the Supreme Court examines the legality of his tariff powers. This turnaround highlights two dynamics: the possible rollback of presidential authority over foreign trade, and the growing role of decentralized platforms as sensors of political anticipation. A case where constitutional law, economic strategy, and technology intersect under the watchful eyes of judges... and investors.

JPMorgan has revised its economic forecasts for 2025, raising the probability of a global recession to 60% due to the new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. According to a report released this Thursday, titled "There will be Blood," the investment bank warns that the tariffs, which will take effect next week, risk plunging not only the United States but the entire global economy into a recession.

Donald Trump recently triggered an economic shockwave by announcing new tariffs. In response, Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve (FED), warned that these measures could exacerbate inflation while slowing down growth. What will be the impact on interest rates? Find out here.

Donald Trump triggered a new trade earthquake on the night of April 2 to 3, 2025. By announcing an increase in tariffs of up to 20% on products from the European Union, the current head of the White House is reviving transatlantic tensions. But France and Europe are not going to take it lying down and are going on the offensive!

The idea of an income tax has long been a pillar of the tax policy in the United States. However, Donald Trump intends to challenge this model and proposes to completely replace it with an import tax system. A study conducted by Dancing Numbers claims that this project could generate significant savings for Americans, amounting to $134,809 per individual, and up to $325,561 by eliminating other levies on labor income. But this proposal, if it were to materialize, would not be without consequences for both consumers and the overall economy. Between the promise of increased purchasing power and the risks of trade tensions, this tax reform is already a subject of debate.

New mandate for Trump: an explosive cocktail of a strong economy, with frantic drilling and impactful tariffs. The party begins!

Here is a budget! Barnier sizes, cuts, siphons... and the French grumble louder than ever.

The finance ministers of the G20, gathered in Rio de Janeiro, took a symbolic step by committing to cooperate to more effectively tax the super-rich. This decision, though embryonic, marks a turning point in the fight against global inequalities.

Switzerland and its well-tuned watches: from now on, cryptocurrencies will tick-tock with the tax authorities!