Tensions Rise As XRP Nears Critical Psychological Level

For the first time in over 400 days, a major technical support of XRP has broken. Under pressure below 2 dollars, Ripple’s crypto operates in a critical zone. The market holds its breath, as the bullish structure falters, and what follows will depend on the next moves.

A major support breaks : the technical signal not to ignore

XRP is at a decisive turning point, as a long-term technical support breaks for the first time in more than 400 days and supply collapses on exchanges.

Indeed, the crypto has just broken below its 200-day simple moving average on the 3-day time frame, a crucial technical support level never crossed to the downside in over a year. In a post on X, analyst Umair Crypto highlights that XRP “faced strong resistance around the psychological level of 2 dollars”, causing a tight consolidation between $1.85 and $1.88, reflecting market indecision.

This type of compression, common in pre-break phases, often signals imminent volatility. Current technical analysis reveals several signals illustrating the token’s vulnerability :

• A close below the 200-SMA (3D) : a significant break from a long-term trend perspective ;

• Price compression between $1.85 and $1.88 : this hesitation zone acts like a vice before a potential volatility explosion ;

• A psychological resistance at $2 : a symbolic wall the market has not been able to break for several days.

These signals suggest that XRP is at a pivotal moment. The long-term momentum seems to be weakening, and although buyers still hold short supports, the break of the 200-SMA marks a major technical turning point that investors will need to watch very closely.

Increased structural pressure

Beyond purely technical signals, the fundamental context adds considerable pressure on the XRP price.

One of the most significant recent events is Ripple unlocking 1 billion tokens, a planned operation but one that “adds additional pressure to an already fragile market setup”.

This sudden increase in supply, amidst consolidation, could increase downside risks if demand does not follow. The market has not yet fully absorbed this new liquidity, and this constitutes another fragility factor.

Analyst Umair Crypto identifies intermediate support levels at $1.45, $1.10, then $0.69 in case of accelerated selling. Any acceleration in selling pressure could lead to a faster price drop, as the price operates within a range where buyers have not yet established strong defenses.

On a monthly scale, Chad, another analyst, notes that the current level corresponds to a former ceiling now acting as support, which “suggests that buyers continue to defend the existing structure”.

The XRP ETF suffers an unexpected setback after a month of success, increasing pressure on an already weakened asset. In a tense market, buyers’ reaction around current levels will determine if this pullback marks the start of a deeper reversal.