XRP Tests Key $2.33 Resistance Amid Rising Market Hopes

XRP is about to enter a decisive zone, fueling both optimism and caution among investors. Amid regulatory tensions, institutional hopes, and converging technical signals, Ripple’s crypto is at a critical inflection point. While volatility remains steady, traders are watching for a possible bullish breakout that could redefine its short-term trajectory. In a market searching for benchmarks, XRP once again stands out as a key indicator at the crossroads of technical dynamics and fundamental issues.

A Decisive Breakout Zone Approaching

As the XRP price hovers around $2.26, analysts are monitoring a critical technical zone that could trigger a major move.

According to Ali, an on-chain analyst followed in the crypto community, a pivotal level is closely watched. “A breakout above $2.33 could propel XRP to $2.60”, he stated on social network X.

A breakout above $2.33 could propel $XRP toward $2.60! pic.twitter.com/ABUsEQWQZQ

— Ali (@ali_charts) July 5, 2025

This threshold coincides with the 200-day simple moving average, often considered a psychological and algorithmic barrier. Its breach would confirm a medium-term bullish trend resumption.

Here are the key technical points to remember :

• Current price : XRP is up +1.84 % over 24 hours and trading at $2.27 ;
• Identified critical threshold : the $2.33 level, serving as both horizontal resistance and SMA 200 crossover ;
• Immediate bullish target in case of breakout : $2.60, with potential extension to $3 if momentum confirms ;
• An alternative scenario : in case of failure or false breakout, the $2 support acts as a short-term consolidation level ;
• Favorable technical structure : the XRP/BTC chart has just broken out of a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern.

The combination of these factors suggests that XRP could be at a pivotal moment in its cycle. However, the market remains cautious. Any breakout must be validated by significant volume to avoid a rapid bearish relapse.

Towards a Spot XRP ETF and a Ripple Bank ?

Beyond technical indicators, it is the fundamental landscape that could radically reshape XRP’s future. Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart mention a 95 % probability that the SEC will approve a spot XRP ETF. “This could become a reality in the very near future,” they assert, highlighting an increasingly favorable regulatory context for this type of product in the United States.

Such an approval would represent a historic milestone for the asset by potentially opening the doors to a massive influx of institutional capital.

Moreover, Ripple, the issuer of XRP, has confirmed it has filed an application for a national banking license with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) in the United States. This initiative marks Ripple’s intention to position itself as a full-fledged banking actor at the crossroads of blockchain technologies and traditional financial infrastructures.

This move fits within a framework of increasing legitimacy and compliance, which could strengthen the confidence of major investors and regulators in the XRP ecosystem.

Such institutional developments, particularly the SEC’s approval of an ETF, could provide XRP with a foundation of enhanced stability and credibility, far beyond mere market fluctuations. If the bullish momentum confirms on the charts, it would thus be supported by solid fundamentals, capable of placing XRP on a sustainably upward trajectory.