Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: Retest or Record Break?
What is the Bitcoin price outlook for 2025? Several notable events, including rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and tariff impositions, marked the second quarter of the year. However, despite entering Q3 2025 with strong momentum, the apex coin’s dominance appears to have faded of late. As per CoinMarketCap, 75% of the top 100 coins outperformed Bitcoin in the last 90 days. With this in mind, smart money traders are already asking what’s next for the BTC price.
In Brief
- Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $111,924 in May 2025, but momentum has slowed amid geopolitical tensions and cautious investor sentiment.
- Institutional demand remains strong, with firms like Metaplanet and MicroStrategy continuing large BTC accumulations.
- Analysts predict a 2025 year-end target of $120,000 to $140,000, depending on continued institutional interest and a stable macro environment.
- Near-term price action is expected to stay between $106,800 and $112,000, unless a strong bullish catalyst emerges.
Bitcoin Price Action: January to June 2025
Bitcoin kicked off the year on a high note, crossing the $90,000 mark as the anticipated inauguration of President Trump filled the market with much optimism. Throughout the month, buyers took control as strong bullish flashes pushed the BTC price near the upper Bollinger band.
Entering February, the apex coin built on its northward travel, pushing closer to $110,000. And like the previous month, buying pressure remained strong, supported by favorable technicals and high investor interest.
Unfortunately, a bearish storm blew over the financial markets in March, triggering a wave of market panic and liquidations of assets. During the market crash, triggered by the regional trade war, BTC broke below the $100,000 mark as momentum weakened. Sellers aggressively stepped in at this level, pushing the coin below the 200-day SMA.
The bearish pressure eased in April, as BTC consolidated between $90,000 and $100,000, staying around the mid-to-lower band range. As market conditions improved, sentiment also switched from bearish to neutral.
In the month that followed, Bitcoin regained its strength and surged past resistance levels to a new all-time high of $111,924 on May 22, 2025. Increased adoption, institutional, and smart money inflow into BTC helped fuel this surge.
By June, Bitcoin traded sideways in a narrow band, between $101,000 and $109,000, often preceding an uptrend. Given that the third quarter of the year has historically been decent for digital assets, investors appear to have high hopes for the asset.
Market Trends and Institutional Demand Shape Bitcoin’s 2025 Outlook
Since hitting its all-time high in May, the Bitcoin price has witnessed a window of calm, mainly due to the escalating situation involving Israel, Iran, and the U.S. This turmoil has triggered caution among retail investors, with some liquidating their positions.
Despite this sell-off, top institutional buyers and firms are still mass-adopting Bitcoin. Metaplanet and MicroStrategy have been among the most active corporate BTC holders, with the former ranked as the largest corporate Bitcoin treasury. Meanwhile, three U.S. firms have announced plans to invest a combined $800 million in Bitcoin.
Even with the current market trend, this accumulation underpins the belief that Bitcoin will continue to chart bullish courses. In light of these moves, crypto experts predict the asset will surge exponentially in 2025. Still, this lofty forecast hinges on the broader adoption and continued institutional interest.
Yet, some market commentators have expressed concern over the Bitcoin accumulation strategy adopted by corporate firms, which involves leveraging debt. They explain that these companies could risk liquidation if Bitcoin hits a bottom.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around the $109,700 mark, following a modest intraday uptick. With stagnant momentum drivers, the coin is expected to trade within the $110,500 to $111,000 range unless a fresh stimulus enters the market.
Approaching the BTC price outlook from a technical lens, the bulls appear to have the upper hand. If the market atmosphere remains clear of bearish triggers, the asset could potentially test the $112,000 and $106,800 levels soon.
The Bull-Bear Power indicator also reinforces BTC’s slight bullish edge, though not without resistance. After Bitcoin’s all-time high in May, buying momentum has slowed down. However, Bitcoin’s price action remains above key moving averages, indicating bullish sentiment is still in play.
While recent liquidations and a drop in open interest show bears are attempting to regain control, they’ve yet to push the price below key support levels.
Analysts predict that Bitcoin could target a price range of $120,000 to $140,000 by the end of 2025 if institutional demand continues to grow through ETFs, inflows, and treasury allocations. CoinCodex’s prediction model aligns with this market project. As per data, Bitcoin is expected to trade between $105,670 and $179,681, with an annual average of $ 127,169.
However, for the forecasts to hold, three major assumptions are outlined:
- A stable macroeconomic environment.
- Favorable market atmosphere and regulatory clarity.
- Absence of major shocks to crypto markets that could trigger a massive sell-off.
More so, Bitcoin requires a strong bullish trigger, such as a macroeconomic event or economic data announcement.
For now, the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain rates following the recent FOMC meeting had a mostly neutral impact on Bitcoin. While a rate cut was predicted to push the BTC price higher, analysts largely expected the current decision.
As the market awaits a major catalyst to emerge, Bitcoin is projected to remain at its current level. Nevertheless, the current outlook tilts cautiously towards optimism as traders watch for cues of bullish calls.
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The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.