Crypto: Circle surprises Wall Street with a profit far exceeding expectations

The spotlight is on crypto right now. And frankly, it smells like trouble. Coinbase in the red, Binance denying leaks, Bitcoin plummeting. Bad news keeps falling like dominoes. Yet, in the midst of this surrounding turmoil, one company stands out. Circle, the issuer of USDC, just published its results. And surprise: Wall Street was stunned. Huge profit, exploding circulation, record volumes. So, how do they thrive while everyone else is down?

770 million and blazing stablecoins: Circle’s comeback against the prevailing gloom

First, let’s set the scene. The crypto market is in bad shape: Bitcoin has lost half its value since October, exchanges are suffering badly. Yet, Circle comes with eye-opening figures. In Q4 2025, the company generated $770 million in revenue. That’s 77% more than the previous year. 

The net profit reached $133 million, where analysts expected only 16 cents per share. The stock jumped 20% right after. How to explain such performance in such a depressing context? Jeremy Allaire, the CEO, offers a strong idea: decoupling. According to him, stablecoin adoption is no longer tied to price speculation. 

The adoption of USDC has continued to expand globally, as more companies, developers, and public institutions integrate digital dollars into real-world payments, treasury, and on-chain financial workflows.

Jeremy Allaire

Companies, institutions, governments now use these assets to transfer value, not to trade. Proof? USDC circulation surged 72% to reach $75.3 billion. And transaction volumes exploded by 247%, to 11.9 trillion. Unprecedented in years.

Circle’s secret ecosystem: when Arc, Bermuda, and Visa prepare the world after

Second, behind these amazing figures hides a well-oiled machine. Circle does not just issue stablecoins. It patiently builds infrastructure for the economy of tomorrow. Take Arc, its new institutional blockchain. Launched on testnet, it has already processed 166 million transactions. More than 100 institutions, from banks to fintechs, are part of the adventure. The transaction finality? 0.5 seconds. Enough to make competitors envious. 

The Circle Payments Network itself is ramping up. 55 financial institutions are already onboarded. The annualized volume reaches $5.7 billion. Jeremy Allaire sees further, much further: 

We are entering a world where, in my view, hundreds of billions of AI agents will interact and perform economic functions on the Internet. 

Translation: Circle prepares the ground for machines, not just humans. The case of Bermuda is fascinating to watch. The island’s government announced its intention to become the first fully on-chain national economy. Technical partner? Circle, obviously. 

A full-scale laboratory to test massive stablecoin adoption in the workings of a sovereign state. Meanwhile, competitors watch the train go by.

Stablecoin war: how Circle nibble away at Tether and leaves Coinbase stranded

Third, let’s watch the match unfolding before our eyes. The stablecoin market is undergoing restructuring. Circle’s USDC is nibbling away ground from Tether, the historic leader. Its market share now reaches 28%, up 426 basis points year-over-year. Institutions favor a regulated, audited, transparent stablecoin. The era when Tether ruled unchallenged seems over. 

Meanwhile, in Washington, two fates unfold simultaneously. The GENIUS Act, adopted in July 2025, provides a clear federal framework for stablecoins. Circle, always compliant, is the major natural beneficiary. Conversely, the Clarity Act, which was meant to structure the rest of the crypto market, is in total deadlock. Main reason? Coinbase withdrew its support to protect its stablecoin revenue. 

Result: Circle moves forward within a clear framework while its competitors get bogged down in legal uncertainty. 

Clear Street analysts summarize the situation: “This release confirms ongoing USDC adoption despite a softer crypto environment, and should support a strong positive reaction in the stock.” While others grumble, Circle cashes in.

The dizzying figures at Circle

• Quarterly revenue: $770 million, up 77% year-over-year;
• USDC in circulation: $75.3 billion, 72% year-over-year growth;
• Transaction volume: $11.9 trillion, a 247% jump in Q4;
• Market shares: 28% for USDC, up 426 basis points;
• Arc testnet transactions: 166 million, with 100+ institutions participating.

The crypto market is certainly experiencing a sluggishness rarely seen. Bitcoin and its peers look gloomy. But while some are depressed, others rejoice. Stablecoin issuers, supported by steady utilitarian adoption, ride the wave. And tokenized real assets, quietly, keep progressing despite the general decline. In short, crypto dies in some places… but is reborn elsewhere, in another form.