Ethereum Approaches Critical Levels As Whales Turn Profitable
The largest holders of the Ethereum network have just returned to profit, a shift that, in the past, has often preceded marked bullish phases. As the market tries to stabilize, this change in dynamics draws analysts’ attention and revives expectations of a bullish move. Between on-chain data and key technical levels, Ethereum is entering a decisive phase.

In brief
- The largest Ethereum holders return to profit, an on-chain signal historically associated with market bullish phases.
- Data shows past performances could reach +25 % short term and up to +300 % over a full cycle.
- This return to profit reduces selling pressure and strengthens investor confidence in Ethereum.
- Several key technical levels emerge, notably around $2,353 and $2,640 to watch for trend confirmation.
Ethereum whales return to profit : a historic signal
While they accumulate significantly, the largest Ethereum wallets, each holding more than 100,000 ETH, have just returned to latent profit zone, an indicator closely monitored by on-chain analysts. According to available data, “the richest ETH holders have returned to a profit state”, marking a change in dynamics after a long bearish pressure phase.
Historically, this signal has often preceded marked bullish phases :
- +25 % on average over three months ;
- +50 % over six months ;
- up to +300 % over one year.
This data places Ethereum back into a configuration observed during previous market reversals.
This return to profit directly changes the market structure. When these key players are no longer under pressure, their incentive to sell mechanically decreases. This results in a contraction of available supply, accompanied by a renewed investor confidence. Current projections mention a target around $2,750 in the coming months, with a possible extension beyond $3,200 if the momentum confirms.
Ethereum faces a decisive test
Beyond the whale signal, several technical indicators shape expectations in the short and medium term. The realized price level, around $2,353, is a pivotal threshold to confirm the rebound.
Other on-chain data, notably MVRV bands, suggest an intermediate target close to $2,640. Technically, Ethereum is evolving in a configuration resembling an ascending triangle, a pattern often associated with bullish extensions.
This framework remains subject to uncertainties. The market has already shown that this type of signal can fail, like in 2018 when a similar phase was followed by a sharp correction. A drop below certain zones could lead to a retreat toward $1,950, or even down to $1,651 in a more degraded scenario. Ethereum is thus at a balance point between confirming a bullish reversal and risk of a false start.
The current situation places the market facing a delicate reading. The whales’ return to profit offers a strong but not infallible signal. Upcoming movements around key levels will determine between a lasting recovery and a new phase of uncertainty. For investors, it is about identifying whether Ethereum is really entering a new cycle phase, while the volume of aggressive buyers has peaked.
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Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.