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On September 6, the open interest of altcoins surpassed that of bitcoin. This is a first since December 2024. Such a shift confirms the rise of leverage on Zcash, XRP, and Solana. However, this is not enough to announce an altseason.

According to CryptoQuant data, bitcoin holders have realized 110,000 BTC of net profits since August 19. Such a profit-taking occurs after a rally that led the price from less than 65,000 dollars to over 82,000 dollars. Bitcoin is now trading around 80,000 dollars, while numerous indicators point to a slowdown in demand. Thus, the risk of correction increases, but the overall trend is not yet bearish.

Usually, the month of September is a risky period for crypto investments. Historically, Bitcoin shows its weakest monthly performance during this period, while central bank decisions can intensify volatility. This year's context adds many uncertainties, including a probable rate hike in the United States. Despite these threats, three cryptos still have strong arguments to get through the month. These are Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

Bitcoin could not maintain the $80,000 threshold after rebounding to $81,455 on August 28. Then, its price fell to $76,877 before a slight rise. This rejection occurs while many sell orders remain visible between $80,800 and $83,000. Their presence can slow a recovery, however, it does not justify either the identity of their holders or their real intention to sell.

Two hundred and forty taxpayers in the United Kingdom have declared more than one million pounds sterling in crypto gains for the 2024-2025 fiscal year. These investors collectively realized 717 million pounds in capital gains, which is more than half of the total amount reported by all taxpayers involved. The term "crypto millionaires" however requires clarification.

On August 28, 81,700 options on bitcoin expire on Deribit. These options have a notional value of $6.44 billion. Indeed, the max pain price was located in the range of $68,000 to $70,000, well below the current bitcoin price. However, this key expiry did not trigger an immediate move towards this level.

In July, 4.2 billion transactions were processed on Solana, a monthly record for the network. Activity grew by 13.5% in one month and by 91% since December 2025. This increase precedes an approximate 40% rise in SOL over eight days, with a crossing of the $100 threshold. Meanwhile, the valuation of tokenized real-world assets on Solana currently approaches $4 billion.

The XRP Ledger has just come out of its lethargy. Indeed, blockchain activity has experienced spectacular growth, as XRP closes the month under increased scrutiny. Active addresses, price evolution, and flows on exchange platforms redraw a conformation that fuels market expectations. Moreover, derivatives products consolidate this pressure with quantified forecasts observed by investors. Does this surge in activity on the XRP Ledger herald a true shift in momentum for XRP?

Like many companies, SharpLink Gaming transforms its treasury into a yield machine. Indeed, the Nasdaq-listed firm has just injected an additional 39,319 ETH into staking, approximately 91 million dollars. This new investment thus strengthens its position as the second largest institutional holder of Ether after BitMine. Like a volatile market, the company executives have decided to make their reserves work directly on Ethereum. This maneuver explains the transformation of crypto treasuries, currently developed as productive assets likely to generate on-chain income, rather than as reserves intended to sit idle on a balance sheet.

Bitcoin has just shattered a widely anticipated scenario: that of a progressive shortage of BTC on exchanges. In just three weeks, the reserves available on centralized platforms have strongly rebounded, despite ETF demand. This turnaround reveals a reality more complex than a simple "supply shock" fueled by institutional investors. Where do these new bitcoins come from and what does this return of liquidity reveal about market balance? On-chain data and ETF flows provide several answers.

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The prospect of a monetary tightening in September is fading in the United States. The latest inflation and consumption data have reassured the markets and reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike. This scenario change offers a respite to risky assets, including cryptos. However, caution remains warranted, as U.S. debt and geopolitical tensions could still weigh on the Fed's upcoming decisions and market trajectories.

Financial markets are hitting record highs, gold regains its safe haven status, but bitcoin remains stuck below $65,000. This inertia contrasts with the euphoria seen in traditional assets and fuels investors' questions. Indeed, the return of stagflation fears in the United States, persistent tensions in the Middle East, and a more uncertain macroeconomic environment blur the benchmarks. Why does the leading crypto remain aside while other markets advance? This divergence could signal a turning point for the market.

Has bitcoin really hit its bottom, or is the market about to undergo a new wave of capitulation? While investors hope to see the correction lose steam, Michael Terpin, a historic figure in the crypto ecosystem and author of Bitcoin Supercycle, cools expectations. According to him, the purge is far from over: BTC could still retreat to $40,000 to $50,000 before starting a new bullish cycle. A projection based on his model of the "Four Seasons of Bitcoin," built around the rhythm of halvings.

For years, a rule seemed immutable: when bitcoin soared, altcoins followed in its wake. This mechanism, which shaped several bullish cycles, now shows signs of exhaustion. Capital no longer spreads across the entire market but converges towards a handful of favored assets. Thus, the latest Wintermute report reveals this break. The massive influx of institutional investors is reshaping liquidity flows and questions the idea of a generalized altseason.

American crypto regulation has just taken a new step. On July 28, Paul Atkins, chairman of the SEC, publicly supported the CLARITY Act, a bill intended to finally define the rules of the crypto market in the United States. This stance strengthens the chances of adopting a highly anticipated text by investors, platforms, and issuers. Now in the hands of the Senate, the bill could offer the country its first comprehensive supervisory framework for these assets.

A few days before the monthly close, bitcoin sends a signal that worries the market. For the third time in a few hours, the leading crypto failed below the $65,500 resistance, triggering a wave of liquidations estimated at $75 million. This new rejection reminds us that a market dominated by leverage can flip in moments, between hopes of recovery and a sudden return of selling pressure. A technical weakness that reignites questions about bitcoin's ability to regain bullish momentum.

Is Ethereum just going through a simple consolidation phase or have investors already turned the page? While the crypto market watches for the slightest sign of a rebound, prediction platforms like Polymarket display a pessimism rarely seen towards the sector's second largest capitalization. Having returned around 1,880 dollars after a brief passage above 1,950 dollars, ETH remains above its late June low at 1,510 dollars, without convincing. This gap between a still solid network and a degraded market sentiment raises the question: how far can distrust go?

Small holders abandon XRP, whales buy without hesitation. This unprecedented divide within the Ripple ecosystem reveals a massive token transfer between investors with opposite strategies. On-chain data shows that modest wallets capitulate under the effect of volatility, while the largest fortunes methodically strengthen their positions. This shift occurs as XRP has rebounded over 8% in five weeks and regained the $1.16 level. Such a signal could say much more about the market dynamics than just the price evolution.

Ethereum has just regained a level of dominance it had not reached for months. By crossing the 10% threshold of the total market capitalization again, the second largest global crypto records a surge that exceeds that of the ten largest assets over a week. This comeback reignites speculations about a new bullish phase, especially since no major event seems, at first glance, to explain such a movement.

The World Cup final delivered its verdict on the field. On prediction markets, it marked the end of a speculative frenzy worth several billion dollars. After Spain's victory over Argentina (1-0), the combined open interest of Kalshi and Polymarket fell by nearly 20% from its peak of about 2 billion dollars reached in early July. This sharp decline reveals the dependence of prediction platforms on major media events and reignites the debate about their ability to maintain user engagement outside global events.

A few hours before the World Cup final played this Sunday at MetLife Stadium, another match is taking place far from the field. Prediction platforms have already recorded $5.57 billion in cumulative trading volumes, an unprecedented level that far exceeds the world of traditional sports betting. This rush to predictive markets illustrates the rise of a new ecosystem where decentralized finance, regulated event contracts, and football passion converge. Such a shift could redefine how the public anticipates major sporting events.

Bitcoin seems frozen for several sessions. However, far from spot charts, institutional investors are increasing bets on the derivatives market. An unusual concentration of very short-term positions reveals that operators are preparing for an event likely to tip the market. Behind this turmoil, price levels that professionals watch before the next U.S. monetary deadlines already emerge.

Long supported by the enthusiasm of social networks and Elon Musk's statements, Dogecoin (DOGE) is going through a decisive phase. While the crypto market experiences a resurgence of volatility and investors reduce their exposure to the riskiest assets, the famous memecoin once again sees its model put to the test. Between loss of visibility, selling pressure, and waiting for a new catalyst, DOGE illustrates the limits of an asset whose value largely depends on the attention it manages to capture.

Cryptos are no longer just a playground for speculation. For Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, the market is entering a new phase driven by tokenization, better risk management, and more rigorous project selection. Interviewed on CNBC on July 15, 2026, the leader of the world’s largest asset manager delivered a comprehensive vision beyond bitcoin. At a time when investors seek more stability than promises, his statements illustrate the accelerated convergence between traditional finance and the crypto ecosystem.

Decentralized prediction markets are experiencing a meteoric rise, to the point of becoming true barometers of market expectations. However, this growth hides a major flaw. A university study reveals that sophisticated actors manage to manipulate certain very short-term contracts to influence the price of the leading crypto. These findings highlight the limits of a booming sector, even as prediction platforms attract the attention of regulators and establish themselves as a new battleground between financial innovation and state oversight.

As on-chain data establishes itself as a credibility barometer, the XRP ecosystem once again attracts attention thanks to tangible adoption indicators. This development reveals a deeper market transformation, where the strength of a network is measured as much by the daily engagement of its users as by its ability to attract institutional capital.

The first half of the year ends with a resounding warning signal for the crypto ecosystem, illustrating the inherent fragility of highly volatile markets in the face of global macroeconomic dynamics. Traditional stock indices show insolent resilience while the crypto market undergoes a purge, challenging theories of stabilizing institutional adoption.