Bitcoin: The Crucial Price Levels to Watch This Year

2026 promises to be a decisive year for bitcoin. After historic peaks and brutal corrections in 2025, BTC finds itself at a technical crossroads. What are the thresholds to watch to anticipate its next moves? Decoding the key levels, possible scenarios, and expert opinions.

The Price Levels That Will Tip Bitcoin in 2026

Bitcoin is evolving around major technical levels in 2026. In this respect, the critical support at $74,508, linked to the 20-month exponential moving average, is a historic pivot. A break below this threshold could trigger a drop towards $65,000, or even $50,000, as observed during past corrections.

Conversely, the psychological resistance at $100,000 for bitcoin represents a symbolic milestone. Therefore, its crossing would open the way towards $126,199, the previous historic peak. Between these two extremes, the consolidation zone between $85,000 and $90,000 is to be watched, with tightened Bollinger bands, a sign of imminent volatility.

Technical indicators, such as RSI and trading volumes, will confirm the strength of movements. A bullish break above $100,000 could reignite optimism, while a collapse below $74,508 would plunge the market into uncertainty.

What Do Experts Think About Bitcoin in 2026?

Expert opinions on bitcoin in 2026 are mixed. On one hand, institutions like J.P. Morgan and Bernstein anticipate ambitious peaks, with forecasts up to $150,000 or $170,000. These optimists base their views on:

• The continuous influx of institutional capital;
• The growing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs;
• An increasingly favorable regulatory environment.

On the other hand, players like Fidelity and Fundstrat take a more cautious view. Indeed, they believe that 2026 could be a year of consolidation, with support located between $65,000 and $75,000. This divergence reflects uncertainties related to global liquidity, monetary policies, and the evolution of traditional BTC cycles.

Finally, according to Polymarket, bettors estimate only a 27% chance that bitcoin will reach $150,000 in 2026. This low probability underscores persistent doubts about BTC’s ability to maintain a strong bullish trend in a still fragile economic context.

BTC: How Should Investors Prepare in 2026?

In 2026, bitcoin investors must adopt a proactive strategy to navigate between bears and bulls. For traders, using stop-loss and take-profit orders around key levels, such as $74,508 and $100,000, is essential to limit risks. Monitoring volatility indicators, like Bollinger bands or the crypto VIX, will help anticipate sudden moves.

Long-term investors should diversify their portfolios and closely follow macroeconomic announcements, especially those from the Fed and regulations. Furthermore, technical analysis tools and reliable information sources will be valuable allies for staying informed in real time. Finally, risk management remains paramount in such a volatile market. Whether trader or investor, vigilance and responsiveness will be the watchwords throughout this year.

2026 could mark a turning point for bitcoin, between confirmation of its maturity and a new test of resilience. The key levels to watch provide a compass to anticipate its moves. But according to you, will BTC manage to exceed expectations or will it suffer a major correction?