Theme Geopolitics

While markets watch every macroeconomic signal to anticipate Fed movements, a major indicator just defied forecasts. The United States trade deficit fell by nearly 24% in one month. In a global context of high tension, between renegotiated tariff agreements and disrupted supply chains, this unexpected decline raises strategic issues. It could also influence capital flows, reshape economic balances, and strengthen interest in decentralized assets like bitcoin.

A few days before Thanksgiving, Washington and Beijing are preparing to conclude a decisive agreement on rare earths, these vital materials for the technology industry, defense, and crypto mining. In a tense geopolitical climate, this compromise could defuse a crisis with heavy consequences for global supply chains. Faced with the threat of US customs sanctions and Chinese export restrictions, this agreement marks a strategic turning point, but nothing is decided yet.

Tokyo throws 17 trillion yen, dreams of AI everywhere… but its hotels close due to a lack of workers. What if Japan also programmed a robot to hire?

Trump, crowned president of mental mining, dreams of a bitcoin empire while Beijing prepares its tokens... A crypto-crusade to follow between tweets, stablecoins, and the digital yuan under surveillance.

A strategic turn is emerging between Washington and Beijing. On the eve of a summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, the two powers announce a preliminary agreement to defuse a trade war with global repercussions. This unexpected but calculated signal of détente resonates even in financial markets and the crypto ecosystem, historically reactive to geopolitical tensions. In a context where tariffs and technological restrictions fueled uncertainty, this opening rekindles hope for a sustainable normalization of Sino-American trade.

For the first time since the start of the conflict in Ukraine, Washington and Brussels are coordinating a series of major economic sanctions against Russia. Directly targeting the energy sector, these measures aim at Rosneft, Lukoil and gas exports. The objective is to dry up the revenues that fuel the Kremlin's war effort. This financial offensive marks a strategic turning point, with immediate consequences on the markets and expected repercussions on the Russian economy, already weakened by three years of international pressure.

In the Sino-American escalation, a subtle lever takes on an explosive dimension: rare earths. Essential in advanced technologies, these materials become the silent weapon of a strategic duel where industrial sovereignty and monetary confrontation intertwine.

While the crypto market was going through a period of marked instability, a statement from Donald Trump was enough to reverse the trend. By announcing a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on October 31, during the APEC summit in Seoul, the American president triggered an immediate rebound in major cryptos. In a tense climate between the United States and China, this announcement was seen as a sign of easing, briefly rekindling investor optimism.

After one of the steepest selloffs in crypto history, digital assets have begun to recover. A renewed wave of buying has lifted both memecoins and major tokens, driven by easing tensions between the U.S. and China and a rebound in overall market sentiment.

On October 10, a radical decision by Donald Trump, 100% tariffs on Chinese software, triggered an unprecedented storm. Within hours, bitcoin collapsed, more than 16 billion dollars evaporated, and 1.6 million traders liquidated positions.

Bitcoin consolidates above 100,000 dollars, driven by institutions and the anticipation of the outcome of the "BITCOIN Act."

The possibility of a U.S. government shutdown is dominating prediction markets, with traders betting heavily on the outcome. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket show a strong consensus that negotiations in Washington are unlikely to deliver a deal in time. Rising volumes and market probabilities above 85% suggest that participants see a shutdown as the most likely outcome.

Explosive leaks reveal how a Moscow-linked network allegedly manipulated the global financial system through crypto. Eight billion dollars in stablecoin transactions were reportedly used to bypass Western sanctions and influence the Moldovan political scene. A disturbing indicator of a new hybrid war where digital money becomes a weapon of influence.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has just inaugurated an international center dedicated to the digital yuan in Shanghai. A strong signal: Beijing wants to impose its e-CNY as a pivot of a new global monetary order. Can this initiative really challenge the dollar’s hegemony and compete with stablecoins dominated by the greenback?

As the conflict in Ukraine drags on, the European Union opens a new front: that of cryptos. For the first time, Brussels plans to directly sanction crypto platforms, integrating these decentralized infrastructures into its economic measures against Moscow. A discreet but strategic shift, integrating cryptos into the realm of international pressure tools.

What will China do if the United States truly start selling gold to embrace bitcoin?

The internationalization of the Chinese currency is no longer a fantasy. The growth of international payments in yuan is skyrocketing. Bitcoin is lurking.

As the war in Ukraine enters a critical phase, Donald Trump throws a wrench in the diplomatic pond. The American president stated that no new sanctions against Moscow would be taken as long as NATO countries continue to buy Russian oil. This statement exposes the persistent fractures within the Alliance and revives the question of its strategic coherence towards Russia.

More and more businesses are accumulating bitcoins, but also more and more countries. The latest is Kyrgyzstan, a small Central Asian country.

As economic tensions intensify between major powers, a dissenting voice challenges the dominant narrative in Washington. According to Boris Kopeikin, chief economist at the Stolypin Institute, the US trade deficit with China is not the result of a BRICS strategy, but rather a structural weakening of the American economy. This interpretation reignites the debate on the root causes of American imbalances in a world undergoing major reconfiguration.

American crude is losing ground. This week, the Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), India’s leading public refiner, turned its back on shipments from the United States to refocus on the Middle East and West Africa. This logistical rebalancing, seemingly technical, reflects a strategic shift: the rise of energy alliances within the BRICS, the decline of the dollar in oil trade, and the assertion of a new economic order.

Reports from the U.S. labor market sent shockwaves through the financial markets, prompting risk assets like Bitcoin to experience sharp price swings. With job data for August coming in lower than expected, predictable alarms erupted regarding a looming recession, which could drive fresh appetite towards risk assets.

Crypto, blockchain and AI at the heart of a controversial project for Gaza. Discover all the details in this article.

The United States and the presidential circle are all-in on bitcoin while Europe continues to fall behind.

It's not just Bayrou's France that is struggling. Europe is going through a systemic crisis that the ECB's printing press can no longer solve. Despite years of massive injections, the eurozone is sinking into a vicious circle of stagnation and unsustainable debt. It seems that this time, unlike 2008, the ECB can no longer save Europe from the crash.

By seeking to isolate his rivals, Donald Trump could well get the opposite effect. Under the pressure of his trade sanctions, the countries of the BRICS bloc, long divided, are beginning an unprecedented strategic rapprochement. As tensions rise, China, India, Russia and their partners seem more willing than ever to cooperate economically and diplomatically.

Ambani, once favored by Trump, ends up grilled by Russian oil. When the Indian economy irks Uncle Sam, it smells like hot oil and diplomatic frying.

Saudi Arabia, Russia and their partners within OPEC+ announce a coordinated increase in oil production of 547,000 barrels per day. A strategic decision that disrupts the fragile balance of the global market and could reignite geopolitical tensions, as the standoff between Washington and Moscow intensifies.