Theme Geopolitics

We are still waiting for those happy days when it would rain dollars, to the point of no longer knowing how to spend them. However, Wall Street and local businesses seem to be struggling. The CEO of Nvidia, Jensen Huang, is sounding the alarm. The technological and trade wars initiated under Trump have not finished causing damage. While some signs of peace appear after discussions in Geneva, American companies are still suffering heavy losses. Nvidia is on the front line and is questioning the future of an economy focused on AI.

As the conflict in Ukraine bogs down, the European Union crosses a strategic threshold. On May 20th, Brussels adopted a 17th round of sanctions targeting previously less exposed entities: the Russian ghost fleet, a logistical pillar of oil evasion. This maneuver, synchronized with London, marks a turning point in the economic war waged against Moscow. By hardening its stance, the EU aims to weaken the opaque circuits financing the Russian military effort and maintain pressure on its foreign supporters.

After several years of hostility towards Bitcoin, Taiwan may soon reconsider its viewpoint given its precarious geopolitical situation.

Trump eases up (a bit) on customs tariffs: the economy breathes, analysts cough, and Beijing chuckles. 90 days of truce, or 90 days until the storm?

For a long time perceived as followers, the BRICS are now at the forefront of global growth. According to the latest forecasts from the IMF, these emerging powers will show an economic momentum in 2025 that is significantly higher than that of the United States. This quantitative shift is becoming strategic: the rise of the BRICS is no longer a trend; it is a fact. Their collective performance is redefining the balance of power and necessitating a re-examination of geo-economic equilibria.

On May 13, 2025, in Riyadh, Donald Trump signed a strategic partnership with Saudi Arabia valued at 600 billion dollars. Beyond the amount, it is the nature of the alliance, encompassing defense, tech, and energy, that is striking. As Washington strengthens its foothold in the Middle East and Riyadh accelerates its post-oil transformation, this agreement redefines the power dynamics between two powers seeking global influence.

The U.S. and China agree to pause tariffs for 90 days, boosting crypto market optimism with Bitcoin and others seeing strong gains.

In a world where geopolitical fault lines are shifting rapidly, Saudi Arabia plays a delicate tune between two rival blocs. Solicited by the BRICS but still closely tied to the United States, Riyadh is biding its time, suspending its official membership despite signals of openness. While Beijing lures with its economic promises and Washington threatens with tariffs, the kingdom is preserving its options. Does this tactical ambiguity mask a pre-established strategic direction or is it preparing for a major rebalancing on the global chessboard?

As the Russo-Ukrainian war drags into its fourth year, a possible meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin in Istanbul could reshape the dynamics. For the first time in months, Kyiv is open to the idea of direct talks. Zelensky announced this Sunday, May 11, that he would await Putin on Thursday, May 15, in Istanbul. However, Ukraine sets a firm condition: no exchanges will take place without a total ceasefire, which is demanded from this Monday. This is a significant requirement in a conflict where every diplomatic gesture is closely scrutinized.

Chinese economy: prices are sinking, the people are saving, Beijing is patching things up, dishes are changing. The dragon is coughing, but still plays the mystery card to avoid being roasted.

As the conflict in Ukraine reaches a critical juncture, Kyiv and its Western allies are proposing a comprehensive, unconditional ceasefire for 30 days. Supported by Washington and major European capitals, this initiative aims to create a pathway for negotiations. However, beyond the call for a truce, one question looms: will Moscow see this as a genuine hand extended or a tactical maneuver concealing a strategic advantage for Ukraine? The answer could reshape the balance of power diplomatically.

Morgan Stanley estimates that bitcoin is now significant enough to be considered an international reserve currency.

While the Sino-American trade war seemed frozen in an endless game of retaliation, an unexpected gesture has rekindled hope: Beijing agrees to official talks with Washington. A first in months. This meeting, much more than a simple diplomatic exchange, crystallizes the deep tensions shaking global trade and the economy of the two giants.

European markets began the week without a clear direction, caught between two major uncertainties: the upcoming decisions of central banks and fears of a global trade tightening. On Monday, May 5, the main financial markets show clear caution, illustrated by slightly declining indices and low trading volumes. Indeed, investors are anxiously awaiting the next announcements from the Fed and the Bank of England, in an environment where every monetary or diplomatic signal can shift the trend.

China hoped to restore its economic reputation through conciliatory gestures towards the United States. Alas, despite a partial reduction in tariffs, the outlook remains bleak. The Chinese economy wavers, trapped by its own inertia and a frigid global environment.

As oil prices plummet and demand remains sluggish, OPEC+ surprises by announcing a massive increase in its production starting in June. Eight members of the cartel break with recent caution and reignite uncertainty in an already tense market. Behind this turnaround lies a possible geopolitical and economic turning point, between a strategy of recovery and calculated risk-taking. This decision could reshape global energy balances.

The CIA discovers that bitcoin tracks better than a double agent: a comical turnaround for a cryptocurrency born against the State, which has become the State's arm. What a flip!

The EU is trying to avoid a trade war that would harm its economy. This article explains how.

The American economy is declining for the first time since 2022. Heading towards a recession? Discover some key figures in this article!

While economic sanctions aimed to suffocate Moscow, Russia recorded a growth of 4.1% in 2023. This figure, confirmed by Russian authorities, shakes the certainties of Washington and its allies. In a climate of war in Ukraine and a reshaping of monetary alliances, the resurgence of the Russian economy reveals an effective circumvention strategy, supported by the BRICS. This data raises questions about the effectiveness of Western sanctions and reshuffles the cards in the geoeconomic game.

The American economy, that giant which once seemed untamable, today wobbles on a tightrope, caught between heightened trade tensions and a loss of domestic confidence. While some spoke of a mere gust of wind, the storm could very well be of unexpected violence.

While the dollar tap dances on a thread of presidential tweets, the euro is trotting towards the monetary throne, galvanized by the missteps of its starry rival.

Between Washington and the BRICS, India is performing a balancing act. Officially tethered to the dollar, it nonetheless allows favorable signals towards monetary alternatives to leak through. In a context of geopolitical reconfiguration where the American currency crystallizes tensions, New Delhi's ambivalent stance intrigues as much as it worries. Between overt loyalty and discreet strategies, India asserts itself as a key player in the global monetary showdown.

In April 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) darkened the economic outlook for the United States with a brutal revision: projected growth at 1.8%, down from the initially expected 2.7%. This turnaround, the most significant since the 2008 crisis, is not just a technical adjustment. It reflects a confluence of risks – trade wars, persistent inflation, a drop in consumption – that threatens to reshape the global economic balance. Behind these numbers, an unyielding observation: recent political decisions have triggered a shockwave whose aftershocks could last.

With Trump, we are witnessing the transition from a trade war to a total economic war between the United States and China.

The United States will have to abandon the exorbitant privilege of the dollar if the goal is truly to become an industrial power again. A good omen for bitcoin.

While Wall Street is emptying its pockets, Bitcoin is puffing its chest, flirting with the peaks and attracting billions — crypto is becoming the new refuge for capricious capital.

Gold continues to shine at $3,400 an ounce. A good omen for Bitcoin, which will inherit this fortune sooner or later.