Theme Geopolitics

On May 13, 2025, in Riyadh, Donald Trump signed a strategic partnership with Saudi Arabia valued at 600 billion dollars. Beyond the amount, it is the nature of the alliance, encompassing defense, tech, and energy, that is striking. As Washington strengthens its foothold in the Middle East and Riyadh accelerates its post-oil transformation, this agreement redefines the power dynamics between two powers seeking global influence.

The U.S. and China agree to pause tariffs for 90 days, boosting crypto market optimism with Bitcoin and others seeing strong gains.

In a world where geopolitical fault lines are shifting rapidly, Saudi Arabia plays a delicate tune between two rival blocs. Solicited by the BRICS but still closely tied to the United States, Riyadh is biding its time, suspending its official membership despite signals of openness. While Beijing lures with its economic promises and Washington threatens with tariffs, the kingdom is preserving its options. Does this tactical ambiguity mask a pre-established strategic direction or is it preparing for a major rebalancing on the global chessboard?

As the Russo-Ukrainian war drags into its fourth year, a possible meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin in Istanbul could reshape the dynamics. For the first time in months, Kyiv is open to the idea of direct talks. Zelensky announced this Sunday, May 11, that he would await Putin on Thursday, May 15, in Istanbul. However, Ukraine sets a firm condition: no exchanges will take place without a total ceasefire, which is demanded from this Monday. This is a significant requirement in a conflict where every diplomatic gesture is closely scrutinized.

Chinese economy: prices are sinking, the people are saving, Beijing is patching things up, dishes are changing. The dragon is coughing, but still plays the mystery card to avoid being roasted.

As the conflict in Ukraine reaches a critical juncture, Kyiv and its Western allies are proposing a comprehensive, unconditional ceasefire for 30 days. Supported by Washington and major European capitals, this initiative aims to create a pathway for negotiations. However, beyond the call for a truce, one question looms: will Moscow see this as a genuine hand extended or a tactical maneuver concealing a strategic advantage for Ukraine? The answer could reshape the balance of power diplomatically.

Morgan Stanley estimates that bitcoin is now significant enough to be considered an international reserve currency.

While the Sino-American trade war seemed frozen in an endless game of retaliation, an unexpected gesture has rekindled hope: Beijing agrees to official talks with Washington. A first in months. This meeting, much more than a simple diplomatic exchange, crystallizes the deep tensions shaking global trade and the economy of the two giants.

European markets began the week without a clear direction, caught between two major uncertainties: the upcoming decisions of central banks and fears of a global trade tightening. On Monday, May 5, the main financial markets show clear caution, illustrated by slightly declining indices and low trading volumes. Indeed, investors are anxiously awaiting the next announcements from the Fed and the Bank of England, in an environment where every monetary or diplomatic signal can shift the trend.

And if a trade war could lead to a nuclear confrontation? The hypothesis seems extreme, until it is put forward by Warren Buffett. Indeed, during the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, the investor warned that Donald Trump's economic policies, perceived as aggressive, could fuel global tensions with uncontrollable consequences. An unusual stance, heavy with implications, in an international context already weakened by growing rivalries.

China hoped to restore its economic reputation through conciliatory gestures towards the United States. Alas, despite a partial reduction in tariffs, the outlook remains bleak. The Chinese economy wavers, trapped by its own inertia and a frigid global environment.

As oil prices plummet and demand remains sluggish, OPEC+ surprises by announcing a massive increase in its production starting in June. Eight members of the cartel break with recent caution and reignite uncertainty in an already tense market. Behind this turnaround lies a possible geopolitical and economic turning point, between a strategy of recovery and calculated risk-taking. This decision could reshape global energy balances.

The CIA discovers that bitcoin tracks better than a double agent: a comical turnaround for a cryptocurrency born against the State, which has become the State's arm. What a flip!

The EU is trying to avoid a trade war that would harm its economy. This article explains how.

While economic sanctions aimed to suffocate Moscow, Russia recorded a growth of 4.1% in 2023. This figure, confirmed by Russian authorities, shakes the certainties of Washington and its allies. In a climate of war in Ukraine and a reshaping of monetary alliances, the resurgence of the Russian economy reveals an effective circumvention strategy, supported by the BRICS. This data raises questions about the effectiveness of Western sanctions and reshuffles the cards in the geoeconomic game.

The American economy, that giant which once seemed untamable, today wobbles on a tightrope, caught between heightened trade tensions and a loss of domestic confidence. While some spoke of a mere gust of wind, the storm could very well be of unexpected violence.

While the dollar tap dances on a thread of presidential tweets, the euro is trotting towards the monetary throne, galvanized by the missteps of its starry rival.

Between Washington and the BRICS, India is performing a balancing act. Officially tethered to the dollar, it nonetheless allows favorable signals towards monetary alternatives to leak through. In a context of geopolitical reconfiguration where the American currency crystallizes tensions, New Delhi's ambivalent stance intrigues as much as it worries. Between overt loyalty and discreet strategies, India asserts itself as a key player in the global monetary showdown.

In April 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) darkened the economic outlook for the United States with a brutal revision: projected growth at 1.8%, down from the initially expected 2.7%. This turnaround, the most significant since the 2008 crisis, is not just a technical adjustment. It reflects a confluence of risks – trade wars, persistent inflation, a drop in consumption – that threatens to reshape the global economic balance. Behind these numbers, an unyielding observation: recent political decisions have triggered a shockwave whose aftershocks could last.

With Trump, we are witnessing the transition from a trade war to a total economic war between the United States and China.

The United States will have to abandon the exorbitant privilege of the dollar if the goal is truly to become an industrial power again. A good omen for bitcoin.

While Wall Street is emptying its pockets, Bitcoin is puffing its chest, flirting with the peaks and attracting billions — crypto is becoming the new refuge for capricious capital.

Gold continues to shine at $3,400 an ounce. A good omen for Bitcoin, which will inherit this fortune sooner or later.

While the United States tightens its tariff arsenal, the rest of the world is organizing itself. Thus, the BRICS bloc attracts economies seeking strategic independence. Breaking away from the established monetary order, this alliance is reshaping trade routes and weakening the dollar's dominance. A silent but structural shift is underway.

How many bitcoins will the United States buy and how? White House advisor Bo Hines advocates using customs tax revenues.

Trump and Bukele, in their meeting at the White House, ditch Bitcoin to talk about prison and commerce. The future of crypto? It will have to wait until serious matters are settled.

Billionaire Ray Dalio warns that the international order is about to change at the expense of U.S. monetary hegemony. Bitcoin is lurking.

China does not intend to yield to the new American protectionist measures. In response to the tariff surge imposed by Donald Trump, Beijing retaliates directly by demanding the immediate removal of tariffs, fearing the effects of a major global economic shock.