Luc Jose A.

In an economic context where every trade tension weighs on global markets, Washington has chosen firmness. On June 11, Howard Lutnick, Secretary of Commerce, ruled out any reduction in tariffs imposed on China. An unambiguous announcement, despite an agreement announced as "concluded" by both capitals. This tariff status quo reinforces uncertainty about global supply chains and sends a clear signal: the time is not for easing, even amid diplomatic dialogue.

The May US inflation shows a deceptive calm: +0.1% for the month, a figure below expectations that immediately boosted risky assets. However, behind this lull lies more enduring tensions, fueled by the renewed offensive of tariff hikes decided by the Trump administration. This seemingly reassuring figure conceals a more unstable reality, where weak signals of a coming inflation resurgence trigger doubts about the robustness of the current economic cycle.

The global economy is set to experience its most sluggish decade since the 1960s. This forecast could reshape the balance of economic power on a global scale. The warning comes from the World Bank, whose latest report, published on June 10, 2025, paints a bleak picture of the near future amidst heightened trade tensions and prolonged political uncertainties.

For two years, Russia has been showing an economic growth of over 4%, a figure that could pale in comparison to many European economies. Yet, behind these seemingly solid indicators, the reality on the ground is quite different: high inflation, degraded consumption, persistent shortages. The country, largely transformed into a "war economy", seems to be reaching the limits of a model based on military spending and energy rents.

As Washington and Beijing reopen a diplomatic channel in London, tensions over rare earths and semiconductors threaten the global balance. In the face of the Chinese delegation, Washington demonstrates its firmness. Donald Trump, true to his style, sets the tone: "China is not easy." Behind this statement lies a reality: neither side seems willing to yield on such strategic and explosive issues.

As the BRICS summit in Rio approaches, Ron Paul sounds the alarm: a monetary shift is underway. The parliamentarian mentions a "Rio Reset," a coordinated offensive by emerging economies to marginalize the dollar in global trade. Behind this statement lies a broader dynamic: the emergence of a multipolar financial order. As monetary tensions intensify, the initiative backed by the BRICS could accelerate a paradigm shift with global consequences.

As financial markets grope in an uncertain geopolitical climate, bitcoin has once again crossed a key threshold: 110,000 dollars. This level, abandoned for two weeks, marks a technical break that goes beyond a simple rebound. Indeed, such a movement is part of a reconfiguration of the forces at work in the crypto market, where price dynamics, speculative positions, and institutional arbitrage seem to be entering a new phase.

The crypto market remains suspended on technical signals that experienced investors scrutinize closely. On XRP, the alert has been raised: a death cross, a bearish crossover of moving averages, has just been detected. Rare and feared, this signal often heralds prolonged pullback phases. In a climate of indecision where the asset struggles to regain a direction, this indicator could modify investors' perceptions and influence their short-term positions. This configuration could weigh heavily on the trajectory of XRP.

In the ruthless world of crypto, some drops leave no room for ambiguity. The Pi Network crypto, which promised public access to mobile mining, now falters under the weight of a challenging market. As its PI token slips towards $0.60, technical indicators turn red and confidence erodes. Where advocates hoped for a rebound, it is a constant selling pressure that prevails, signaling a potentially lasting shift in the project's trajectory.

Strategy proceeds openly: accumulate bitcoin at any price. However, when the company announces a fundraising of one billion dollars and Michael Saylor subsequently publishes an enigmatic post, the strategy takes on a whole new dimension. Within hours, the markets stir, and speculation resumes. The businessman rekindles the interest of the entire ecosystem and reinforces the idea that Strategy is much more than a tech company: a strong institutional signal in favor of bitcoin.

As the U.S. federal debt has just crossed the staggering threshold of $36 trillion, Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, warns: without a significant rebound in growth, the world's most powerful economy risks hitting a fiscal wall. Behind this alert lies an explosive equation involving chronic deficits, political inertia, and increased dependence on foreign investors.

Yesterday, Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, spoke directly on X (formerly Twitter) to respond to speculation about a potential IPO. Despite a theoretical valuation estimated at 515 billion dollars, he dismissed the rumors, stating that Tether has no intention of going public.

While the markets scrutinize the upcoming regulatory decisions, XRP experiences an unexpected surge. Now the fourth largest asset in the sector, it has seen a notable rebound after two sessions of decline, briefly instilling a renewed sense of optimism. However, behind this technical signal lies a more contrasted reality: trading volume has collapsed by nearly 49% in 24 hours. In a tense climate where every movement fuels speculation, XRP is once again becoming a barometer of the contradictions in the crypto market.