Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
XRP returns to the forefront, boosted by speculation around an ETF. After a long phase of inertia, Ripple's crypto makes a leap by briefly crossing $3, driven by an approval probability estimated at 95% by Bloomberg. This sudden resurgence of activity places XRP back at the center of discussions, between speculative frenzy and questions about the strength of its fundamentals.
As economic tensions intensify between major powers, a dissenting voice challenges the dominant narrative in Washington. According to Boris Kopeikin, chief economist at the Stolypin Institute, the US trade deficit with China is not the result of a BRICS strategy, but rather a structural weakening of the American economy. This interpretation reignites the debate on the root causes of American imbalances in a world undergoing major reconfiguration.
The hierarchy of European sovereign debts has just shifted. On Tuesday, September 9, France borrows at a higher rate than Italy on ten-year bonds. Less than 24 hours after the fall of the Bayrou government, the markets have decided: the French signature is no longer a refuge. This reversal, unprecedented in over a decade, marks a loss of confidence affecting the State's budgetary credibility.
With more than 9.2 billion dollars in assets and cash, BitMine Immersion establishes itself as the new key player in crypto treasuries. Under the leadership of Tom Lee, the company listed on NYSE American accelerates its Ethereum-focused strategy, becoming the largest holder of ETH among listed companies. In a context of growing crypto balance sheets, BitMine redraws the contours of financial management by betting on Ether as a strategic reserve asset.
SwissBorg has just suffered one of the most striking hacks of the year. In a few hours, 193,000 SOL, or 41 million dollars, were siphoned off via a flaw in the Kiln validator API, a provider responsible for staking on Solana. It was not SwissBorg's infrastructure that failed, but that of a third-party partner. The incident reignites the debate on the security of external integrations in a sector where the slightest failure can be enough to bring down the entire chain.
XRP has just signed its strongest accumulation phase in two years, against the backdrop of an uncertain market. While altcoins struggle to find a second wind, Ripple's crypto stands out through unusual accumulation activity. This surge, supported by significant volumes, reactivates speculation about a possible lasting rebound.
The calm was short-lived. Indeed, the crypto market is plunging back into fear, according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which dropped to 44 after several weeks of stability. This psychological signal is not isolated, as it accompanies a clear shift in investment flows, leaving the most volatile altcoins to refocus on the heavyweights of the sector, bitcoin and Ethereum.
The disappearance of a few thousand bitcoins from a balance sheet is enough to fuel controversies. This weekend, the issuer of USDT found itself at the center of a media whirlwind: did it secretly sell its BTC? Some saw a strategic shift there. However, behind the seemingly worrying figures, another reality emerges, much more nuanced, and above all, revealing the discreet movements of a giant in crypto finance.
American crude is losing ground. This week, the Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), India’s leading public refiner, turned its back on shipments from the United States to refocus on the Middle East and West Africa. This logistical rebalancing, seemingly technical, reflects a strategic shift: the rise of energy alliances within the BRICS, the decline of the dollar in oil trade, and the assertion of a new economic order.
XRP is going through a decisive phase. Priced at $2.81, Ripple’s token is evolving in a weakened crypto market, undermined by persistent volatility. Technical indicators paint a mixed picture: selling pressure dominates in the short term, but some long-term moving averages indicate a possible recovery. Between investor caution and hopes for a rebound, XRP is now at a strategic turning point that captures analysts' attention.
While the entire crypto market oscillates between consolidation and correction, Dogecoin stands out with a unique behavior. Its open interest, a barometer of open positions on futures contracts, remains stable at a historically high level, nearing 16 billion DOGE, or approximately 3.36 billion dollars. This threshold is remarkable in a climate where speculative activity is significantly declining across the majority of altcoins.
At this back-to-school period, major banks are revising their outlook. Faced with a clear slowdown in the American economy, the idea of two to three rate cuts this year is gradually taking hold. Investors, hanging on the Fed’s slightest signals, see in this change of course a potential turning point.
The latest revision of the S&P 500 does more than just redistribute the cards. While the entry of Robinhood, a symbol of accessible finance, was welcomed, the discretionary exclusion of Strategy, despite meeting all technical criteria, is surprising. Behind this choice, a troubling reality emerges: certain companies exposed to bitcoin still seem persona non grata in major indices. This decision raises questions about the impartiality of the committee and the real place given to the crypto ecosystem.
This Friday, September 5, nearly $4.7 billion worth of options on Bitcoin and Ethereum expire, while technical indicators waver and the U.S. economy sends signals of slowdown. This crucial deadline could reshape the spot markets' dynamics.
Is bitcoin approaching a decisive turning point? As signs of fatigue accumulate, a new analysis rekindles the specter of an imminent bearish cycle. According to a fractal modeling aligned with historical four-year cycles, October could mark the beginning of a deep correction. After the euphoria of the highs, the market enters a phase of uncertainty where every technical signal is scrutinized. This scenario, increasingly discussed among analysts, calls into question the strength of the current upward trend.