Luc Jose A.

While the crypto market digests the post-halving calm, a technical setup is quietly attracting attention: the XRP/BTC pair could surge by 30%. Far from a simple bullish scenario, this signal is based on a marked tightening of the Bollinger Bands, often a precursor to sharp movements. For traders, this type of compression is never trivial. It often heralds a resurgence of volatility, in either direction. This time, all indicators are converging towards a possible spike.

As oil prices plummet and demand remains sluggish, OPEC+ surprises by announcing a massive increase in its production starting in June. Eight members of the cartel break with recent caution and reignite uncertainty in an already tense market. Behind this turnaround lies a possible geopolitical and economic turning point, between a strategy of recovery and calculated risk-taking. This decision could reshape global energy balances.

For a long time hesitant towards bitcoin, American universities are beginning to make a discreet but decisive shift. Brown University, a pillar of the Ivy League, has just announced a direct exposure to BlackRock's IBIT ETF. This is a first, revealed in an official filing with the SEC, which could redefine the standards for endowment fund allocation. Why this movement now? What amounts are at stake? And what does this strong signal sent by an academic institution in the midst of a reshaping crypto market reveal?

As the symbolic threshold of 100,000 dollars approaches, Bitcoin enters a turbulent zone. Behind the spectacular rise, long-term holders are recording unrealized gains of nearly 350%, a level historically associated with massive profit-taking. This critical signal comes as the market remains vulnerable, hindered by ongoing technical tensions and a demand that struggles to keep pace with potential supply.

The countdown has begun. Indeed, Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high much sooner than we imagine. A recent analysis by Timothy Peterson, a recognized economist in the Bitcoin network, predicts a surge to $135,000 within the next 100 days. The origin of this projection: the drop in the VIX index, a symbol of a renewed appetite for risk, and an aligned macroeconomic context. This could reignite the bullish ambitions of a market in search of solid catalysts.

What if the markets were following a tempo that escapes economic logic? While the U.S. GDP is declining, the S&P 500 is rebounding after a sharp drop of nearly 20%. This unexpected turnaround, fueled by contradictory signals, intrigues even in trading rooms. Indeed, at BNP Paribas, strategists are wondering: does this sudden correction fit into a global tradition? To understand it, they delve back into a century of stock market crash history.

In the span of two months, Pi Network has lost nearly 90% of its value. The cryptocurrency fell from $2.99 to a low of $0.40. This collapse could have marked the end of the hype, but a recent rebound is rekindling interest. While some see it as just a temporary surge, others suggest it could be the beginning of a turnaround. As the project is poised to reach a key milestone, the price movement in the coming days could reshape the trajectory of this controversial cryptocurrency.

While the crypto market regains its strength, a silent threat resurfaces. Binance, one of the main trading platforms, warns of the increase in scams related to fake tokens. Imitating legitimate projects, these scams are ensnaring more and more investors, sometimes seasoned ones. In a context of euphoria and a massive return of capital, this drift calls into question the security of exchanges.

The CAC 40 is taking a significant hit. In just a few sessions, the Paris index has dropped over 6.5%, driven by a dramatic return of trade tensions. The announcement by Donald Trump of new tariffs on Chinese and European imports triggered a wave of massive sell-offs. Thus, on April 3, the Paris Stock Exchange fell by 2.25%, indicating a climate of widespread nervousness that revives the specter of a global economic war.

While American regulators often take cautious positions regarding cryptocurrencies, a notable change is occurring around XRP. In just a few weeks, the probability of approval for an ETF based on the asset has jumped to 85%, according to analysts at Bloomberg. This development is transforming market outlooks and fueling expectations of new historic highs. In this context, investors, technical analysts, and institutional observers are already envisioning the scenarios that this decision could trigger.

And what if banks, the secular pillars of global finance, were living their last years? This is not the warning of a crypto maximalist, but that of Eric Trump. From the podium of Liberty University, the businessman warned: without rapid adoption of cryptos and blockchain, banks could disappear within a decade. Thus, in a context where decentralized finance is gaining ground, this position reveals the flaws of a rigid system faced with a rapidly accelerating technology.

The Chinese industry is showing signs of weakness. For the first time in over a year, the country's manufacturing activity has contracted, according to the latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics. Indeed, the new tariff offensive launched by Donald Trump, with customs duties reaching up to 145%, is beginning to have an effect. In Wall Street as in Beijing, concern is rising. This trade standoff between the two powers awakens fears of a global slowdown with systemic consequences.

While economic sanctions aimed to suffocate Moscow, Russia recorded a growth of 4.1% in 2023. This figure, confirmed by Russian authorities, shakes the certainties of Washington and its allies. In a climate of war in Ukraine and a reshaping of monetary alliances, the resurgence of the Russian economy reveals an effective circumvention strategy, supported by the BRICS. This data raises questions about the effectiveness of Western sanctions and reshuffles the cards in the geoeconomic game.