SHIB October Average Hits 167.5% but One Year Skews It

In the third quarter, SHIB shows a cumulative increase of 44.1%, thanks to three consecutive months in the green. Historically, the month of October often has an average return of 167.5%, however this figure almost entirely relies on the spectacular explosion of 2021.

SHIB strings together three consecutive months of gains

After a 24% drop during the month of June, Shiba Inu benefited from the overall rise in the crypto market. The token is heading toward its best third quarter since its launch, even though this sequence will only officially end on September 30.

This correction accompanies the growth of the entire sector. Between the start of this movement and today, the total valuation of cryptos rose from 2150 to 2890 billion dollars. This increase of 34.4% reveals that SHIB’s recovery is not solely based on factors related to its own ecosystem.

Monthly performances actually detail the building of this positive quarter :

• SHIB gained 12.2% in July ;
• It rose 7.55% in August ;
• The token showed an increase of 19.4% in September ;
• Its cumulative quarterly return reached 44.1% as of September 23.

These data remain provisional, as one week of trading is still missing before the quarter closes.

The average of 167.5% mainly comes from October 2021

In October, SHIB’s average performance is indeed around 167.5% in the historical series. This statistic seems very high, yet it does not reflect the token’s usual behavior.

Shiba Inu soared 833.6% in October 2021, reaching its all-time high. The results of the following years were much less exceptional. Thus, SHIB gained nearly 10% in October 2022, 6.13% in 2023, and only 1.33% in 2024. Afterwards, it lost 13.61% in October 2025.

Therefore, a single observation justifies the bulk of the average. When removing October 2021 from the calculation, the average return of the other four years drops to about 0.96%. Less sensitive to extreme values, the median sits around 6.04%.

The 167% trigger thus corresponds neither to a technical signal nor a projection. In fact, it is simply an average calculated over five Octobers, including one spectacular result. The sample remains too small to establish a reliable seasonality.

Shiba Inu still tests several resistances

Nevertheless, an improvement in SHIB’s structure is noticeable. The token formed a double bottom pattern between 0.0000034 and 0.0000045 dollar before starting its recovery. This figure may indicate exhaustion of sellers, but it requires a confirmed break of resistances.

On September 23, SHIB approached nearly 0.00000627 dollar before falling back to around 0.00000602 dollar. The first zone to surpass is therefore between 0.00000620 and 0.00000630 dollar. A daily close above this range would consolidate the rebound and reposition 0.00000650 to 0.00000670 dollar among the next levels to watch.

A more significant resistance at 0.0000075 dollar has been identified. Its breakthrough would open a scenario toward 0.000011 dollar. However, these thresholds come from on-chain analysis and do not represent guaranteed targets.

The zone between 0.00000560 and 0.00000570 dollar constitutes the main short-term downside support. A sustained return below this level could weaken the reversal attempt.

The annual balance remains largely negative

Finally, this quarterly increase must be put into a longer perspective. Despite this recent rise, SHIB has still lost 12.6% since the beginning of 2026 and nearly 50% over one year. The token also remains very far from its 2021 record.

Its performance in the coming October will depend more on demand, volumes, and overall market growth than on the historical average. Staying above 0.00000560 dollar could preserve the current structure, while a confirmed break above 0.00000630 dollar would bring a first additional signal.

Moreover, the average return of 167.5% can attract attention, but the median of 6.04% more accurately reflects the available history. Therefore, October remains a potentially favorable month for the SHIB price, without constituting an immediate trigger for a rise.