Géopolitique

The use of digital assets enters a more contrasted phase after several quarters marked by dynamic global activity. According to a TRM Labs study, cryptocurrency adoption slowed in the first quarter of 2026, especially in developed economies. This evolution shows a more selective crypto market, where local needs, digital payments, economic conditions, and geopolitical tensions increasingly influence user behaviors.

The great powers reveal themselves in crises, and BRICS may have just missed their moment. While the war involving Iran could have marked a turning point, the bloc remained silent, unable to display a common position. This silence raises questions about its real credibility in face of its global ambitions. Behind the image of a counter-power to the West, this sequence mainly exposes deep divisions and structural weaknesses that rhetoric is no longer enough to mask.

Crypto is now establishing itself in areas where geopolitical tensions dictate the rules. According to Chainalysis, crypto payments related to Iran could expose certain companies to international sanctions. This signal comes as maritime transport players explore new ways to circumvent traditional constraints. Between financial innovation and regulatory risk, the use of blockchain in these sensitive contexts raises questions.

The BRICS are rapidly increasing their gold reserves. In a few years, their share of global stocks has significantly risen, reflecting a strategic shift. This movement takes place in the context of questioning the role of the dollar in the international monetary system. Behind these acquisitions, a trend is confirmed: several major economies seek to reduce their dependence on the greenback. This development could permanently alter the balance of financial powers.

Markets are wavering, energy is soaring, and even gold is retreating amid geopolitical tensions. In this unstable context, Bitcoin is beginning to reveal a deeper transformation of the global system that few anticipated.

Predictive markets are establishing themselves as a new indicator of international tensions. On Polymarket, millions of dollars are engaged to anticipate the outcome of the conflict between the United States and Iran. This activity occurs while negotiation signals are emerging between Washington and Tehran. The evolution of probabilities, coupled with the reactions of financial markets, offers an insight into investors' expectations in the face of a conflict whose outcome remains uncertain.

The US midterm elections could well provide a new breath to the crypto and stock markets, and give wings back to bitcoin. This is at least what Binance Research states in a report published this week. However, before reaching that point, the path remains littered with geopolitical pitfalls.

Crypto prediction markets are at the heart of a political debate in the United States after massive bets related to Iran. Hundreds of millions of dollars have been wagered on sensitive geopolitical scenarios, prompting several lawmakers to consider stricter regulation of these platforms.

Bitcoin is surging. In just a few hours, BTC jumped 6% to near $73,000, its highest level in nearly a month. A strong signal in a still very turbulent macroeconomic context. Is this the start of a true bullish reversal?

Despite geopolitical pressure, bitcoin could enter a historic bullish phase according to Bitwise. More details here!