Prediction Market

Brazil tightens its control over prediction markets related to crypto and financial betting. Authorities have initiated the blocking of 27 platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. This measure comes after a directive from the Ministry of Finance and an action by the National Telecommunications Agency. According to authorities, these services do not comply with the current legal framework. The case therefore goes beyond just the crypto issue. It also affects gambling, user protection, and financial stability.

Metaplanet raises 50 million dollars to buy more bitcoin, and this choice confirms a strategy that has become central for the Japanese company. The company listed in Tokyo no longer just keeps BTC in reserve. It now builds its financial model around it.

Predictive markets enter a new risk zone. The arrest of an American soldier for betting on Polymarket linked to an operation against Nicolás Maduro shows that the boundary between information and exploitation can quickly disappear.

DeFi hits a wall: JPMorgan warns about a lack of trust from institutions. Detailed explanations in this article!

Bitcoin has just passed back above 60% dominance across the entire crypto market, a symbolic threshold it had not reclaimed since 2026. Meanwhile, its price is near 80,000 dollars, a sign of a clear return of capital to the asset considered the most solid in the sector. According to data relayed on April 23, BTC dominance hovers around 60.6%, while the market looks again at the 80,000 dollar threshold.

A temperature variation of a few degrees was enough to trigger gains of several tens of thousands of euros. At the origin of this situation, a Météo-France sensor suspected of having been tampered with, at the heart of betting on the Polymarket platform. This case, far from trivial, reveals a major vulnerability: when real-world data become financial instruments, their integrity becomes a critical issue for the entire crypto ecosystem.

Grayscale reignites the debate on the bitcoin cycle. For the management company, the market may have already found its bottom in February 2026, whereas many analysts still expect a real dip later in the year.

Bitcoin briefly touched 78,100 dollars after two very clear triggers: the extension of the truce with Iran announced by Donald Trump and Strategy's new massive purchase. The market not only welcomed a geopolitical respite. It also regained an old reflex: to closely follow the return of large buyers.

Polymarket and Kalshi launch crypto perpetual futures with 10x leverage. Everything you need to know about this revolution here.

Ethereum has just shown its clearest buy signal on derivative markets since the 2022 bear market. For the crypto market, this is not yet a confirmed reversal. But it is a change of tone that deserves to be taken seriously. For months, Ethereum moved forward with an invisible brake. Even when the price tried to recover, sellers still dominated derivatives. This imbalance is finally beginning to crack, and this is exactly what puts ETH back at the center of the crypto game.

Polymarket is negotiating a new $400 million fundraising based on a valuation of about $15 billion. The prediction market is no longer just a corner of crypto; it is now a field that Wall Street is watching very closely.

Crypto news: Strategy has $1.76B. A record bitcoin purchase seems imminent. Full analysis in this article.

Aave lost more than 6 billion dollars of deposits after the Kelp hack, and this is exactly what the crypto market is sanctioning today. The protocol was not hacked directly. But it faces a risk it did not create, which is enough to trigger a brutal capital flight and a drop in the AAVE token. According to CoinDesk and DefiLlama, Aave's total value locked dropped from about 26.4 billion to less than 20 billion, while the token fell around 16%.

Prediction markets are no longer a marginal topic in finance. Charles Schwab and Citadel Securities are now following this segment, each with its own perspective. The former is studying a selective offering, away from bets deemed too speculative. The latter is mainly observing liquidity before going further. In the background, the rise of Kalshi and Polymarket is already accompanied by increasing regulatory pressure, while the sector is still seeking its balance in the United States today.

Prediction markets sell a simple promise. Bet on the future, read the crowd, win thanks to better intuition than others. But the latest data on Polymarket tells a much less flattering story, at the very moment Kalshi and the entire sector are attracting more political and institutional attention.

An Iranian announcement was enough to move two markets at once. On one side, oil fell sharply. On the other, bitcoin gained altitude, passing above 76,000 dollars with an intraday peak around 78,000 dollars on Friday.

The threat is no longer theoretical. The Ethereum Foundation claims to have helped identify about 100 IT workers linked to North Korea in 53 crypto projects in just six months, through its ETH Rangers program. This figure is striking because it shows that infiltration is no longer limited to spectacular hacks. It also involves hired profiles, integrated, then left as close as possible to sensitive accesses.

France is preparing a security crackdown in response to kidnappings related to crypto. The issue is no longer just financial. It is becoming police, political, and almost industrial.

The American stock market regains a conquering mood. The S&P 500 has crossed a new high above 7,000 points, driven by the sudden return of risk appetite and Tesla's surge.

Pakistan now allows its banks to open accounts for licensed crypto companies. It's a sharp turn after eight years of blockage. The State Bank of Pakistan does not legalize a digital Wild West. It rather opens a narrow, monitored, but decisive door.

The Bank of Japan has just offered indirect support to Bitcoin. By cooling expectations of a rate hike at the end of April, it reduces one of the major risks weighing on the crypto market. The signal is discreet, but its effect is powerful: the yen remains weak, financing stays cheap, and risky assets breathe easier.

Nikita Bier rekindles speculation around X Money. By mentioning a product capable of "fixing" the difficult year for crypto, the former product manager of X mainly reopened an old question: Can X become a real gateway to digital assets?

Michael Saylor puts one billion dollars back into bitcoin. Strategy bought 13,927 BTC between April 6 and 12, 2026, bringing its total reserve to 780,897 BTC. Despite volatility and latent losses, the accumulation machine is still running.

Hungary could become a more breathable ground for crypto after Viktor Orbán's fall. This political shift goes beyond Budapest: it also affects how the European MiCA rules will be applied, or overinterpreted, in a member state.

The story no longer looks like a simple speculative fall. It now takes the form of a political problem. As tokens associated with Donald Trump sink, the criticism changes tone. It is no longer just about losses for crypto investors. It is about access, influence, and conflict of interest. The fall of Trump-linked crypto projects now goes beyond market correction. The memecoin TRUMP hit an all-time low of 2.73 dollars and remains crushed by more than 96% compared to its peak of 73.43 dollars. Meanwhile, WLFI set a new floor around 0.077 dollar on April 11 and remains sharply down from its 2025 peak.

The United States transferred seized bitcoins to a Coinbase Prime address. The important point is not the amount, modest in market terms. The real signal is that Washington is increasingly treating confiscated bitcoin as an asset to be organized, stored, and integrated into a broader public strategy.

Japan is clearly shifting gears. By approving, on April 10, 2026, a reform that brings crypto assets into the realm of financial instruments, Tokyo no longer treats crypto as a mere extension of digital payments. The country now chooses a logic of market, oversight, and investor protection.

Crypto trading is changing dimension. Binance introduces prediction markets directly into its wallet, opening the way to a new form of speculation based on the outcome of real events. Accessible from its application, this feature allows users to buy and sell probabilities in a few clicks, without going through external interfaces. By integrating these on-chain mechanisms in a centralized environment, the exchange redefines uses and accelerates the convergence between finance, information, and blockchain.