Prediction Market

The prediction market enters a less free zone. Behind the talk of crypto innovation, Kalshi and Polymarket are beginning to look a bit more like traditional financial platforms, with more control, increased surveillance, and less tolerance for gray areas.

Crypto: the SEC is moving its pieces. A major reform could impact traders, institutions, and investors. All details here!

Michael Saylor puts pressure back on bitcoin at a time when the market doubts. His message published on March 22 revives a very simple idea: at Strategy, the decline has not broken the appetite to buy.

Despite the drop in bitcoin, Scaramucci remains confident. He forecasts an explosive rise by the end of 2026. Should we believe it? Analysis!

Bitcoin shows a more constructive signal: large holders sell less, while miners are still slowing their sales despite increasing pressure.

The market is starting to test the strength of Bitcoin's rebound again. Prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi now assign a strong probability to BTC dropping below 55,000 dollars in 2026, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs plunge back into the red. Such a sequence revives doubts about the strength of the rebound.

The crypto market reacts to the Fed's decision. Between hope for a rally and extreme fear, signals worry investors.

Gold sends a more contrasted signal than it appears. Behind the classic image of a safe haven, the market today shows a clear divide between retail investors who continue buying via ETFs and institutions who have started to lighten their positions.

The campaign is easy to understand and worrying in its mechanics: developers linked to OpenClaw were targeted on GitHub with the promise of $5,000 in $CLAW tokens, before being redirected to a fake site designed to make them connect and then drain their crypto wallets. OX Security documented the operation, and the OpenClaw project itself eventually publicly reported the scam.

Mastercard no longer just watches the wave of stablecoins. The group now wants to position itself at the heart of this new financial plumbing. With the announced acquisition of BVNK for an amount that could reach 1.8 billion dollars, the payment giant sends a simple message: the battle for crypto payments will not only be played on tokens but on the infrastructure that connects traditional money and blockchain.

Bitcoin holds its breath before one of the most sensitive macro appointments of the month. This Wednesday, March 18, 2026, the Federal Reserve must announce its monetary policy decision at 2:00 pm Eastern Time, before Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 pm. For the crypto market, the stakes go far beyond a simple central bank formality. The next moves of the dollar, bond yields, and risk appetite are decided within minutes.

Niantic recycles images from Pokémon GO to power a mapping AI capable of guiding delivery robots with remarkable precision.

The crypto market reopened the week with a brutal move. Bitcoin surpassed 73,000 dollars on March 16, while Ether regained the 2,200 dollar zone. At the same time, nearly 300 million dollars of short positions were liquidated within 24 hours, which accelerated the rise.

Bitcoin regains strength as the rest of the market moves with much more hesitation. Amid geopolitical tension in the Middle East, the asset is having its best week since September 2025. This movement is not only based on a technical rebound. It also relies on the return of institutional flows and on a dynamic that is beginning to distinguish bitcoin from other major assets.

The Ethereum Foundation has just monetized a small part of its reserve. The operation remains limited in volume, but it says a lot about the Foundation's new financial discipline and the rise of crypto treasury companies.

The Bitcoin market is changing its face. This time, the driving force does not come from a simple speculative rally, but from the rising power of publicly traded companies accumulating BTC in their treasury. According to Adam Back, this group could soon absorb up to ten times the newly mined daily supply. The idea may seem extreme. However, it is based on a mechanism already visible in the market.

American spot Bitcoin ETFs have just sent a signal that the market had been waiting for several weeks. For the first time in 2026, they have recorded five consecutive sessions of net inflows. During this sequence, about $767 million were absorbed by these products, marking a visible return of institutional demand for bitcoin.

Bitcoin does not necessarily lack strength. What it mainly lacks is a clear signal. According to Glassnode, this signal comes from a simple yet incredibly useful indicator: the share of bitcoins held by short-term investors still in profit. As long as this gauge remains below 50%, the idea of a sustained rebound remains fragile.

Tether has restarted the engine. The issuer of the market's first stablecoin created 1 billion dollars in USDT on Tron, a move that brings the crypto liquidity issue back to the center of the game at a time when geopolitical tensions are already shaking global markets.

The scenario seems huge. However, Bitwise argues that a bitcoin at 1 million dollars does not necessarily imply total dominance over gold. According to Matt Hougan, the company's chief investment officer, bitcoin would only need to capture about 17% of the global store of value market within ten years to reach this symbolic threshold.

Arthur Hayes surprises the bitcoin market. One of his loudest supporters now explains that he wouldn't place 1 dollar on BTC at the current price. His idea is not a rejection of bitcoin. It's a strategic waiting. For him, the real buy signal will mainly come from a return of global liquidity, with a more accommodative Fed and, above all, a resumption of money printing.

Imagine a world where people bet on death, attacks, wars, or natural disasters. In the United States, a controversial law, the "Death Bets Act", seeks to ban these macabre prediction markets. Between ethics, national security, and financial freedom, the debate is raging.

Vitalik Buterin pushes a simple idea in appearance, but heavy with consequences for crypto: making Ether staking almost as easy to start as software. Behind this ambition, there is a clear objective. To bring more institutional players into staking without reinforcing the technical concentration of the network.

Cardano returns to the center of criticism. This time, the reproach is direct. The network is accused of having accumulated promises without managing to impose strong usage in DeFi or in mainstream applications. Behind the shocking phrase, the question is simple: Does Cardano still matter in crypto due to its real utility, or mainly because of its history and community?

Bitcoin ETFs finally return to the green. Does the return of capital signal a new phase for bitcoin? Analysis here.

Crypto prediction markets are at the heart of a political debate in the United States after massive bets related to Iran. Hundreds of millions of dollars have been wagered on sensitive geopolitical scenarios, prompting several lawmakers to consider stricter regulation of these platforms.

Curve Finance accuses PancakeSwap of having reused a sensitive part of its architecture without respecting the required license. Behind this accusation, it is not just a conflict of egos between two big names in DeFi. The issue touches on code ownership, user security, and how crypto protocols reuse technical building blocks that have become quasi-standards.

The arrest of John Daghita in Saint-Martin brings a reality back to the center of the crypto debate. The risk does not only come from the blockchain, but also from the humans involved. The suspect, described by the FBI as a subcontractor connected to the U.S. government, is accused of embezzling more than 46 million dollars in crypto belonging to the US Marshals Service, the agency responsible notably for managing assets seized by the justice system. The arrest was carried out with the GIGN and the FBI, and the authorities say they seized cash, USB drives, and digital asset wallets.