Theme Bitcoin (BTC)

The crypto market has just gone through a busy week, between American inflation, the Fed's decision, and the vote on CLARITY. Bitcoin has nevertheless returned to levels it hadn't reached for two weeks. After several sharp movements, buyers gradually took control again. The Senate's rejection of the bill and the rate hikes by the Fed and then the BOJ did not prevent the market from restarting. The journey remains marked by high volatility and several rapid reversals.

The number is impressive, but it is an estimate. 92,272 people are believed to hold at least 1 million dollars in Bitcoin, according to Henley & Partners' Crypto Wealth Report 2026. In total, the firm counts 135,694 millionaires in digital assets. Bitcoin thus represents nearly 68% of this group. The calculation is stopped as of August 31, 2026, while BTC was still about 38% below its record of October 2025.

The market would reserve an unexpected paradox for bitcoin. Indeed, the distrust that still surrounds it would become a supporting factor if investors reduce their hedges. In a note, JPMorgan analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou compared the recent dynamics of bitcoin to those of gold. Their interpretation relies on three elements: flows to ETFs, institutional positioning in futures markets, and the level of hedging around the main listed funds. Thus, gold appears more advanced in its recovery, while bitcoin retains more catching-up potential.

The cryptocurrency market is going through a particular moment as the US Federal Reserve has just raised its rates. This decision, the first since 2023, triggered only a limited reaction on bitcoin. On Thursday, investors are watching the next steps of US monetary policy and their potential effect on risky assets. Between bond yields, the dollar, and inflation, the context remains tense. Yet, crypto prices show relative stability, while some altcoins display more marked movements.

The crypto market is retracing a scenario recently observed during the previous monetary tightening cycle. After the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in more than three years, bitcoin is evolving in a configuration reminiscent of 2022. At that time, its decline preceded the March decision, followed by a temporary rebound and then a new drop. However, the market's maturity limits this comparison. The coming weeks will allow us to observe whether this historical parallel maintains a clear scope.

Bitcoin could very well continue its trajectory despite the blocking of the Clarity Act in the Senate. After the failure of the closure procedure, the probabilities of the bill's adoption this year dropped from 15% to 5% on Polymarket. Bitcoin therefore retreated towards 75,000 dollars at the same time, without any direct link being established between the two movements. A paradox emerges behind this political setback. While Washington is still trying to clarify the crypto market rules, bitcoin already has many major regulatory achievements in the United States.

Bull Bitcoin and Paymium did not obtain the immediate suspension of DAC8 in France. The Council of State rejected their urgent motion against the French decree that organizes the collection and transmission of data on crypto-asset transactions. However, the court did not rule on the merits of the case. The appeal seeking the annulment of decree no. 2025-1276 continues.

Bitcoin Core 32.0 nears release with performance upgrades, security fixes and a server vulnerability uncovered with help from an AI model.

Is the bear market coming to an end? Many signals observed during previous reversals are beginning to reappear in the market. Denny Galindo, from Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Global Investment Office, identified six of them, from the cycle calendar to bitcoin mining difficulty. However, not all are green. Some indicators remain far from the levels reached during past lows. Between historical similarities and persistent anomalies, the market might be entering a renewal without having fully left the bear market yet.

The Fed returns to monetary tightening after more than three years without an increase. Indeed, the US central bank raised its rates by 25 basis points, bringing their range to 3.75% - 4.00%, a first since July 2023. This decision is motivated by persistently high inflation, yet it did not automatically shake bitcoin. Despite a spike in volatility after the announcement, BTC stabilizes around 76200 dollars. Between monetary tightening and crypto market resistance, the Fed's decision now raises the question of the trajectory of rates.

The 13 Bitcoin spot ETFs listed in the United States recorded net outflows of $450.4 million on Tuesday, September 15, according to data from Farside Investors. A level rarely reached in recent months. On the same day, the US Senate failed to gather the 60 votes necessary to advance the CLARITY Act.

Bitcoin heads into the Fed decision under pressure, with markets pricing in a rate hike and traders bracing for Warsh’s signals.

The data recorded on blockchains often gives the impression of providing an accurate reading of financial flows. However, a study by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) shows that certain metrics can vary depending on the method used. For bitcoin, researchers noted a gap of up to six times in the estimation of the value of transfers made on the blockchain. This difference does not concern exchanges carried out on platforms, but rather the interpretation of transactions recorded directly on the network.

In a few hours, bitcoin erased the rebound that had taken it up to 79579 dollars. BTC fell below 75000 dollars, down to 74984 dollars, its lowest level since August 21. This break occurred less than 24 hours before a key decision by the US Federal Reserve, while a 25 basis points rate hike is expected. With the 77000-dollar support now broken and market sentiment sharply declining, investors face the Fed verdict in a profoundly reshaped configuration.

A few hours before the Fed decision, more than a dozen banks are betting on a 25 basis point rate hike, an outcome currently credited with an 87.3% probability by the market. The main causes are more persistent inflation than expected and an oil price above 100 dollars. Faced with such a tightening of expectations, BTC is trading around 76000 dollars, after having exceeded 79000 dollars. The verdict on Wednesday, September 16, should reshuffle the cards.

Russia is keeping crypto under tight control at home while turning to bitcoin as an alternative rail for selected cross-border transactions.

After twelve months of caution, Bitcoin options traders change direction. Since August 20, they pay more to bet on a BTC rise than to protect against a drop, an unprecedented shift in a year. The signal comes while bitcoin trades around $78,278, far from its peak above $126,000 in October 2025. Between dominance of call options, increase in futures positions, and bets concentrated under $100,000, the derivatives market shows renewed but still measured optimism.

During the shortened week of September 8, U.S. crypto ETFs recorded nearly $263 million in net outflows. The positive gathering of products related to Ether, XRP, and Solana was masked by withdrawals concentrated on Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin is entering a week dominated by two major political and monetary events. On Tuesday, September 15, the U.S. Senate is set to vote on closing debates on the CLARITY Act. On Wednesday, the FOMC will announce its interest rate decision. However, positioning data shows traders have already adjusted their exposure. Since the beginning of the month, open positions have significantly decreased, while the price has declined more moderately. This reset could already change the dynamics of upcoming sessions.

Strategy has paused its bitcoin purchases and put $139 million into STRC, while Strive continues adding BTC to its holdings.

As I explained in my analysis last week, Bitcoin remains for now in a totally lateral market. The scenario I envisaged continues to unfold: the price oscillates between the 80,000-82,000 dollar zone and the 75,000-76,000 dollar zone, which currently acts as support. And personally, I decided to take advantage of this range rather than try to anticipate a breakout that still hasn't happened.

The inter-chain liquidity protocol Symbiosis recovered about 15 BTC after a flaw targeting its Bitcoin bridge. The September 11 incident led the project to suspend its Bitcoin Bridge service and isolate the affected infrastructure. Meanwhile, Symbiosis restored bitcoin trading thanks to Chainflip and THORChain. The protocol also offers a 20% bounty to recover the remaining funds. This operation comes as several bridges have undergone a massive creation of unbacked tokens.

According to Tom Lee, bitcoin quietly disrupts crypto portfolios: 2% initially, versus more than 80% today. Analysis.

Trump is promising American adults $5,000, a plan Pompliano says could boost bitcoin despite major questions over how it would be funded.

North Korea is expanding its infiltration system of American companies. According to an NBC investigation, IT workers based notably in Iran and Lebanon are recruited to attend interviews on behalf of North Korean operators. Some reportedly received 500 dollars per month in crypto to play the "interview associates" role. Once the contract is secured, the position can be taken over by a worker linked to Pyongyang. American authorities had already documented the increasing use of third parties to bypass recruitment controls.

After a 24% gain in two weeks, BTC stopped its progression and currently stagnates around 77000 dollars. According to CryptoQuant, the momentum remains bullish; however, its confirmation depends on a precise threshold: 81700 dollars, the level of the 365-day moving average. However, before reaching it, the market must still absorb a significant concentration of supply. And beyond that, two new resistances already await bitcoin at 83600 and 88700 dollars.

American Bitcoin ETFs recorded a fourth consecutive day of net outflows on Friday, September 11, with $13.29M withdrawn. In contrast, ether ETFs attracted $216.41M and mark a fourth positive week. Institutional investors therefore still seem present in the crypto market, but their interest is shifting.

The crypto market enters a new phase of uncertainty as Goldman Sachs revises its monetary scenario. The American bank now forecasts a Fed rate hike next week, following stronger-than-expected core inflation in August. This change comes as bitcoin trades below $80,000. Investors have adjusted their expectations, with the probability of a hike now approaching 90%. The September decision could impact market reactions.